Difference between revisions of "Next generation mobile devices 2015"

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# [[ Will VOIP slowly take over the traditional mobile phone carriers?]]
# [[ Will VOIP slowly take over the traditional mobile phone carriers?]]
# [[How can compression be used for mobile technology?]]  
# [[How can compression be used for mobile technology?]]  
# What is the status of voice recognition technology on mobile phones? Will it eventually replace traditional typing and menu browsing?  
# [http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Can_recorded_messages_be_converted_to_sms_form%3F What is the status of voice recognition technology on mobile phones? Will it eventually replace traditional typing and menu browsing? Can recorded messages be converted to sms form?]
# [[Can recorded messages be converted to sms form?]]  
# [[What is the mobile technology roadmap?]]
# [[What is the mobile technology roadmap?]]
# [[All these new technologies imply increased energy consumption. Is there a more efficient alternative to Li-ion power batteries? Can it be environment friendly?]]  
# [[All these new technologies imply increased energy consumption. Is there a more efficient alternative to Li-ion power batteries? Can it be environment friendly?]]  

Revision as of 22:00, 25 April 2008

Team Composition

Research questions

Mobile Industry

Basic information about mobile industry. Amongst others: producer, designer, telcoms.

  1. How much money does everyone spend per year (differentiate to access)?
  2. What is the average price of a mobile phone?
  3. What kind of mobile phone models are sold most?
  4. How many mobile phones are sold every year?
  5. What is mobile industry?
  6. What’s the structure of this industry?
  7. How big is the mobile phone industry?
  8. Do different countries / regions have different cases?
  9. Who is the biggest mobile device manufacturer in term of devices sold and produced?
  10. Who are the biggest players on the market?
  11. What is the business model of the current phone manufacturers?
  12. What is the business model of the service providers?
  13. Will the industry change their business model, iTunes, p2p sharing etc?
  14. What is the value chain of the current mobile industry?
  15. What will the value chain look like in the year 2015?
  16. What pricing models are possible?
  17. What will be the materials used in the next generation mobile devices?
  18. What is the typical replacement cycle of a mobile device?


Users

Analysis of the Primary Target Market

  1. How is the use of mobile technology across the age groups?
  2. In what situations is a mobile device used?
  3. In what locations do people use mobile technology?
  4. How much time do people spend using a mobile device?
  5. For what reason do people buy mobile technology, impress, copying others?
  6. Are people satisfied with the current state of mobile technology?
  7. What is the demography in 2015?
  8. What kind of people will use mobile technology in 2015?
  9. In what situations will mobile devices be used in 2015?
  10. Is there a niche market for very expensive models, how will the developments in mobile technology affect this niche?
  11. Why do people want to be reachable, do they even want to be reachable?
  12. Do people prefer to have different functionality in different devices, or do they want one single device with all the functionalities?
  13. How customizable will mobile technology be, mass-customization?
  14. Can there be selective customization in mobile devices equivalent to the computer industry (select components, enable add-ons)
  15. Convergence of devices will make mobile technology more complicated. Will this scare off most people?


Mobile devices

Questions about several aspects of mobile devices, like interface, functions, technology, power supply.

  1. What kind of user interface technology is available in 2015?
  2. What is the role of fashion with mobile technology?
  3. What will be the effect of bendable OLED displays on mobile device design?
  4. What kind of data do people access using mobile technology?
  5. What kind of bandwidth is needed for applications?
  6. What is the future for modular applications in mobile technology?
  7. Who will develop these functional modules?
  8. How will piracy affect those modules?
  9. Can mobile phones revert from being lifestyle objects to mere tools, like in their inception? In similar thinking, is the mobile phone market bifurcated (either too sophisticated and expensive, or simple and price savvy)?
  10. What is the perceived functionality of an i-phone? Do such devices (or similar from NOKIA and Sony-Ericsson) cast MP3 devices obsolete?
  11. What application are used on the mobile phone and how often are they used?
  12. What do we mean with mobility?
  13. Can the mobile phone be used as a wallet?
  14. What possibilities does Wimax offer?
  15. What is the potential of broadband connectivity on mobile devices?
  16. Will VOIP slowly take over the traditional mobile phone carriers?
  17. How can compression be used for mobile technology?
  18. What is the status of voice recognition technology on mobile phones? Will it eventually replace traditional typing and menu browsing? Can recorded messages be converted to sms form?
  19. What is the mobile technology roadmap?
  20. All these new technologies imply increased energy consumption. Is there a more efficient alternative to Li-ion power batteries? Can it be environment friendly?
  21. What kind of different energy sources can future mobile devices use? E.g. solar energy.
  22. What is Mobile 2.0?
  23. Which parts of the mobile device consume the most energy?


Social issues

Influence of social issues like, security, health, environment, culture, equality, ethic, government regulations. And the influence on other industries.

  1. Does Mobile technology pose a security threat (terrorism, difficult to trace)?
  2. What kind of security threats will be there for mobile technology (virusses, eavesdropping, ...)?
  3. Does mobile phone radiation have negative effects on human beings?
  4. Does the increased sophistication of connectivity networks pose any tangible health risks?
  5. How can mobile technology improve health, can it be used to store medical history?
  6. What’s mobile waste’s influence on our environment?
  7. Can mobile device be “green” in the year 2015?
  8. How does mobile technology impact a society?
  9. Can mobile devices be used for parental control?
  10. How does culture affect the use of mobile technology?
  11. With the development of mobile devices, is there more or less equity in the society?
  12. Will the price reasonable for everyone?
  13. Will the new mobile devices too difficulty for the old people to handle?
  14. Are mobile phone implants (tooth or brain) feasible, or even ethically acceptable?
  15. How can mobile technology influence a language?
  16. What influence could the government have on the development of mobile technology?
  17. What’s governments’ attitude towards the development of new generation mobile device? ( R&D, fund)
  18. What government department will supervise this new industry? (if the mobile device has the functions of TV, phone, Internet, etc.)
  19. How can the government use mobile technology?
  20. What other industries will be influenced by the development of mobile devices?
  21. DOUBLE, SEE PREV. QUESTION How will the entertainment industry cope with developments in mobile technology?
  22. How will e-banking develop?
  23. How will e-business develop?
  24. Will advertising companies manage to use new mobile technology?
  25. Does mobile technology make land lines obsolete?
  26. Will internet television make normal television obsolete?

Driving Forces

System Diagram

Scenarios