Difference between revisions of "Future of Sustainability 2030"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
 
(111 intermediate revisions by 6 users not shown)
Line 4: Line 4:
Yojiro Fukaya<br>
Yojiro Fukaya<br>
Eric Lam<br>
Eric Lam<br>
Ynzhu (Carrie) Ma<br>
Yunzhu (Carrie) Ma<br>
[[User:Hugh.malkin|Hugh Malkin]]<br>
[[User:Hugh.malkin|Hugh Malkin]]<br>
Kay Mei Tan<br>
Kay Mei Tan<br>
=Introduction=
=Introduction=
"Meet the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs."<br>
 
"Sustainable Development is a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of investments, the orientation of technological development; and institutional change are all in harmony and enhance both current and future potential to meet human needs and aspirations." from the United Nations Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future (Brundtland Commission) http://www.un-documents.net/ocf-02.htm#I<br>
 
 
Or in other words:
 
 
Sustainable Development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs<br>
 
 
Sustainable development deals with Social Equity, the Economy, and the Environment<br>
 
=Research Questions=
=Research Questions=
What is the history?<br>
;Definition
How did sustainability start?<br>
#[[What is the definition of Sustainability?]]<br>
What are the driving forces in the past? <br>
#[[What is "The Tragedy of the Commons"?]]<br>
Who/what does sustainability effect the most?<br>
;General
Who is the best/worst at sustainability?<br>
How is sustainability measured?<br>
Why does sustainability matter?<br>
What is most important to sustain?<br>
What does sustainability mean?<br>
Do we need to be sustainability<br>


How sustainability can effect on economy?<br>
#[[What is the history of sustainability?]]<br>
How sustainability can effect on our life?<br>
;Envirnoment
Why do we need sustainability now?<br>
#[[What is the rate of Ice melt?]]
What is the motivation for companies to work for sustainability?<br>
# [[What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?]]<br>
How will growth in developing countries effect on sustainability?<br>
# [[What can we do as a individual?]]<br>
Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?<br>
# [[What is measurable?]]<br>
What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?<br>
#[[What are current international regulations regarding sustainability?]]
What can we do as a individual?<br>
;Energy
#[[What are the current major ways of power generation]]
#[[What is the most efficient power generation method in terms of cost and CO2 emission?]]
#[[What to extent cost of renewable energy will be cheeper?]]
;Technology
#[[What are the key technologies?]]
#[[Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?]]
;Resource
#[[What is the outlook of world energy in the next 20 years?]]
#[[How much oil is left in the world? When will oil run out?]]<br>
#[[Is water the Key Limiting Factor?]]<br>
#[[Will other natural resource, other than energy, play serious roles in the future sustainability?]]
#[[What are the other threats to sustainability?]]<br>
#[[How do human beings interact with/affect natural resource?]]
#[[What are the energy trends in India and China?]]
#[[What are the impacts of climate change to the future sustainability?]]
;Value
#[[What is the most important value for sustainability?]]
#[[What is the method evaluating values?]]
#[[What are the values of the worlds leading polluters?]]
;Pollution
#[[What is the most important pollutant?]]
#[[Which Fossil Fuels give off most Carbon Dioxide? What are the worst Fossil Fuels?]]<br>
;Population
#[[Is our population growing?]]
#[[Is there a limit to growth?]]


1. What is the purpose of sustainability?  Why does it matter? What is it?<br>
;Education
2. Is sustainability a slow or fast change?  What changes are present day solutions and which are long-term solutions?<br>
#[[What is Education for Sustainable Development (ESD)?]]
3. What is the balance of profits and sustainability?<br>
4. What is the definition of Sustainability?  Lifestyle, products, CO2?<br>
5. Is less bad of sustainability actually good? What is the goal of sustainability?  What is sufficient?<br>
6. Are things really measureable?<br>
7. Where should the solution come from?  Is there a universal answer?<br>
 
Water: Is It the Key Limiting Factor?<br>
What is sustainability?<br>
What is the value of the global services for sustainability e.g. air and water purification, agricultural pollination, nutrient cycling, soil enrichment, climate stabilization, medicinal products and drought mitigation?<br>
What would happen if we do not work on sustainability?<br>
How much should be done?<br>
Who should be responsible for sustainability e.g. government, individuals, country?<br>
How bad is the current situation?<br>
What happened if we slow growth? Does that mean that we do not need to work on sustainability?<br>


=Driving Forces=
=Driving Forces=
#[[Resources]]
#[[Sustainable Resources]]
#[[Alternative Energy]]
#[[Alternative Energy]]
#[[Technological Development]]
#[[Technological Development]]
#[[Education]]
#[[Education]]
#[[Information sharing]]
#[[Business]]
#[[Business]]
#[[Green Business]]
#[[CSR]]
#[[Economy]]
#[[Economy]]
===GDP===
#[[Regulations for Sustainability]]
#[[Sustainability Regulation]]
#[[Values]]
(Global, not each country)
#[[Population]]
===Kyoto Protocol (http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php)===
#[[Pollution]]
The Kyoto Protocol is an international agreement linked to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The major feature of the Kyoto Protocol is that it sets binding targets for 37 industrialized countries and the European community for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions .These amount to an average of five per cent against 1990 levels over the five-year period 2008-2012.
 
1) Global Regulation on Sustainability
2) Description:
The main international governing group accepted by a majority of nations is the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC).  The United Nations is constantly working with nations to supplement and amend the UNFCC.  The UNFCC is focused on the reduction of green house gas emissions, particularly carbon dioxide.  The UNFCC came into force in June of 1992 in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (otherwise known as Earth Summit).
3) Enablers:
a) Increased knowledge of sustainability influencing politics of national governments
b) Market based mechanisms
c) Supplements and addendums to UNFCC (i.e. Kyoto protocol)
4) Inhibitors:
a) National government interests
b) No international enforcement
c) Financial commitments
5) Paradigms:
a) The UNFCC, “sets an overall framework for intergovernmental efforts to tackle the challenge posed by climate change.”  It has allowed for passage of the Kyoto Protocol which specified binding targets of green house gas emissions.  The UNFCC has annual conferences to:
i) Gather and share information on greenhouse gas emissions, national policies and best practices
ii) Launch national strategies for addressing greenhouse gas emissions and adapting to expected impacts, including the provision of financial and technological support to developing countries 
iii) Cooperate in preparing for adaptation to the impacts of climate change
6) Experts:
a) Yvo de Boer – Executive Secretary of UNFCC
7) Timing:
a) Dec 7 -18, 2009: Copenhagen, Denmark “United Nations Climate Change Conference”
8) Web Resources:
a) http://unfccc.int/2860.php - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC)
 
==Values==
Values drive beliefs which drive our attitudes which drive our behaviors. Our intelligence, needs, and personality have an influence on our attitudes. We have discovered from the Limit to Growth study that we must practice sustainability. To do that we need to change our behaviors. We are going to concentrate on the root of our behaviors, our values. <br>
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_(personal_and_cultural) <br>
 
Values as a foundation for sustainable behavior <br>
http://www.bcca.org/ief/ddahl01b.htm <br>


Dahl says:
=Systems Diagram=
To achieve sustainability, several types of values need to be considered: <br>
[[image:Diagram_sustainability1.jpg|200px|1st draft]]
- values with respect to fellow human beings; <br>
- the value attached to material things and consumption; <br>
- the importance given to the environment; <br>
- the purpose of life. <br>
If the purpose of life is defined as the fulfilment of individual material needs and drives and the denial of any other goal in life, the resulting value set will be very different from one that sets higher humanistic goals, or one that defines the real purpose of life as the acquisition of spiritual qualities, with participation in society seen as a means to that end. <br>


===Individual===
1st draft
Dahl says the individual values that best support sustainable development are: love, altruism, justice, solidarity, service, moderation, detachment from material things, respect<br>


===As a society===
[[image:systemmap.jpg|200px|Final version]]
Dahl: institutional values: service, sustainable management of natural resources, respect <br>




Sustainable development principles of the Projet de société <br>
Final version
http://www.iisd.org/worldsd/canada/projet/CHOICES/guide.htm#1.3 <br>


all deliberations must be informed by respect for nature, including the rights of other species and future generations; <br>
=Scenario Tree=
all persons should be able to participate in transitions to sustainability;<br>
the process should be based on anticipation and prevention; <br>
issues related to sustainability should be neither won nor lost, but resolved;<br>
informed decision making must consider the full cost of actions;<br>
the process should take into account social, interregional, and intergenerational equity;<br>
the process should be a dynamic learning one.<br>


==Developing Country==
[[image:ScenarioTree_s2.jpg|400px]]
===Poverty===
==Leadership==


=Scenarios=
=Scenarios=
# [[Collapse of the Environment]]
# [[Tragedy of Commons]]
# [[New Enlightenment]]
# [[Market Regulation]]


=References=
=References=
Erasumus prof. Michael Braungart (co-author Cradle to Cradle)<br>
#[[Websites]]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B8fTujfL30<br>
#[[Books]]
 
#[[News Articles]]
Robert Rubinstien (Green Investment)<br>
#[[Notes]]
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jBUV1PJE8r4<br>
 
The Limits to Growth<br>
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth <br>
 
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change<br>
http://unfccc.int/2860.php/ <br>
 
Kyoto Protocol<br>
http://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php<br>
 
==Books==
Natural Capitalism<br>
Limits to Growth<br>
Triple Bottom Line<br>
 
==News Articles==
New Green Business<br>
http://money.cnn.com/2009/03/24/smallbusiness/trash_talker_terracycle.fsb/index.htm?postversion=2009032512<br>
http://www.terracycle.net/<br>
 
==Previous Scenarios==
 
==Notes==
http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Image:Notes_1.doc<br>
http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Image:Notes_2.doc<br>

Latest revision as of 12:31, 17 October 2009

Welcome to the Future of Sustainability in 2030

Group Members

Yojiro Fukaya
Eric Lam
Yunzhu (Carrie) Ma
Hugh Malkin
Kay Mei Tan

Introduction

"Sustainable Development is a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of investments, the orientation of technological development; and institutional change are all in harmony and enhance both current and future potential to meet human needs and aspirations." from the United Nations Report of the World Commission on Environment and Development: Our Common Future (Brundtland Commission) http://www.un-documents.net/ocf-02.htm#I


Or in other words:


Sustainable Development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs


Sustainable development deals with Social Equity, the Economy, and the Environment

Research Questions

Definition
  1. What is the definition of Sustainability?
  2. What is "The Tragedy of the Commons"?
General
  1. What is the history of sustainability?
Envirnoment
  1. What is the rate of Ice melt?
  2. What is the urgent issue relating to sustainability?
  3. What can we do as a individual?
  4. What is measurable?
  5. What are current international regulations regarding sustainability?
Energy
  1. What are the current major ways of power generation
  2. What is the most efficient power generation method in terms of cost and CO2 emission?
  3. What to extent cost of renewable energy will be cheeper?
Technology
  1. What are the key technologies?
  2. Can technological development solve environmental issues dramatically?
Resource
  1. What is the outlook of world energy in the next 20 years?
  2. How much oil is left in the world? When will oil run out?
  3. Is water the Key Limiting Factor?
  4. Will other natural resource, other than energy, play serious roles in the future sustainability?
  5. What are the other threats to sustainability?
  6. How do human beings interact with/affect natural resource?
  7. What are the energy trends in India and China?
  8. What are the impacts of climate change to the future sustainability?
Value
  1. What is the most important value for sustainability?
  2. What is the method evaluating values?
  3. What are the values of the worlds leading polluters?
Pollution
  1. What is the most important pollutant?
  2. Which Fossil Fuels give off most Carbon Dioxide? What are the worst Fossil Fuels?
Population
  1. Is our population growing?
  2. Is there a limit to growth?
Education
  1. What is Education for Sustainable Development (ESD)?

Driving Forces

  1. Sustainable Resources
  2. Alternative Energy
  3. Technological Development
  4. Education
  5. Business
  6. Economy
  7. Regulations for Sustainability
  8. Values
  9. Population
  10. Pollution

Systems Diagram

1st draft

1st draft

Final version


Final version

Scenario Tree

ScenarioTree s2.jpg

Scenarios

  1. Collapse of the Environment
  2. Tragedy of Commons
  3. New Enlightenment
  4. Market Regulation

References

  1. Websites
  2. Books
  3. News Articles
  4. Notes
Retrieved from "https://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Future_of_Sustainability_2030&oldid=32523"