Difference between revisions of "Political Stability in Europe"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
 
(9 intermediate revisions by 2 users not shown)
Line 2: Line 2:


==Description:==
==Description:==
Political stability factors have been of fundamental importance in the foundation of the European Union as well as its ongoing enlargement process. When looking beyond economical benefits, there is a strong case to be made that membership to the union brings political stability to each member and to Europe as a whole. When looking in particular at the EU enlargement process it can be seen as a way to bring stability to the neighboring sates as it brings a politico-administrative lock-in on the part of the potential new member states. [1]


Political stability factors have been of fundamental importance in the foundation of the European Union as well as the it's ongoing enlargement process. Independent of the economic benefits of accession or enlargement there is certainly a strong case to be made for promoting the notion of the political stability that membership invariably brings – although in some cases this may be merely the displacement of a previous area of instability to a position beyond the ‘new border’ – as an increasingly significant driving force in the enlargement process. Not only does this however relate to the desire for what can now be termed ‘soft security insurance’ on the part of prospective members, but also to what we may term, the EU’s ‘wider civic duty’ to admit all those that pass the ‘entrance exam’ essentially laid down by the ‘Copenhagen Criteria’. This point is again often couched within the context of the desire for politico-administrative ‘lockin’ on the part of the potential new Member States. Moreover, it is also perceived as a dynamic issue, as the failure to ‘project’ stability is seen as merely an invitation to ‘import’ instability. As such, this point relates in particular to the broad acknowledgement of the significant changes that have occurred at the global political level since the end of the Cold War, and in particular to the realisation that the process of European integration has a fundamental impact - with the potential to be either good or bad – upon the EUs neighbouring states.
Political stability is also perceived as a dynamic issue for the EU, as the failure to stability is seen as merely an invitation to introduce instability. As such, this point relates in particular to the broad acknowledgement of the significant changes that have occurred at the global political level since the end of the Cold War. In particular the process of European integration has been fundamental in bringing stability to the region. [1]


The objectives of xxxx:
When looking beyond the beginning of the Cold War, Europe has been one of the most instable regions in the world. The past 65 years represent the longest period of peace in European history. This is despite the fact that during these years Europe saw one major ethnic war (the Yugoslavia breakup 1991-1995), and only two minor conflicts (the 1956 Soviet intervention in Hungary and the 1974 Greco-Turkish war in Cyprus). The early years of the Cold War (1945-63) were marked by a handful of major crises, although none brought Europe to the brink of war. Since 1963, however, there have been no East-West crises in Europe. Although, during these 65 years there have not been many instances that Europe has been facing instability, history does not favor that state to continue forever. Therefore, political stability is one of the most vital driving forces behind the European Union. [2, 3]
*increased efficiency
 
*reduced costs
The objectives of Europe Political Stability:
*increased quality and tailor-made health care
*Avoid War
*Increase Economic Growth


==Enablers:==
==Enablers:==
Line 18: Line 20:
* Boarder Disputes
* Boarder Disputes
* Civilian War  
* Civilian War  
* Finical Crisis   
* Financial Crisis   
* Changes in Religion/Society Makeup  
* Changes in Religion/Society Makeup


==Paradigms:==
==Paradigms:==
Due to the aging population in The Netherlands the demand for health care will increase. Technological innovations and innovations in ICT can make health care more efficient, cheaper, more patient-friendly and better tailor-made. The open markets in health care make effective implementations of innovations in health care possible.
Due to the history of Europe political stability can be look on as privilege and should never be regraded as a constant state. Therefore, member states have to work in every sense towards increasing stability.  
 
To establish a greater stability in neighboring countries the EU is and will continue to seek continues expansion.  
 
As history of Europe is full of violence  that could enable the EU to form a stronger hold on the member states that could lead to EU being a super state.


==Experts:==
==Experts:==
Line 30: Line 36:
* Heads of Civil Movements  
* Heads of Civil Movements  


==Web Resources:==
==Resources:==
*[http://www.mcrit.com/scenarios/index.htm Could we imagine other future for Europe?]
*[1] [http://www.mcrit.com/scenarios/index.htm Could we imagine other future for Europe?]
*[http://smp.fsv.cuni.cz/Mearsheimer.pdf Instability of Europe after the Cold War]
*[2] [http://smp.fsv.cuni.cz/Mearsheimer.pdf Instability of Europe after the Cold War]
*[3] [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breakup_of_Yugoslavia Breakup of Yugoslavia]

Latest revision as of 10:11, 18 September 2009

Associated with: Future of the European Union in 2030

Description:

Political stability factors have been of fundamental importance in the foundation of the European Union as well as its ongoing enlargement process. When looking beyond economical benefits, there is a strong case to be made that membership to the union brings political stability to each member and to Europe as a whole. When looking in particular at the EU enlargement process it can be seen as a way to bring stability to the neighboring sates as it brings a politico-administrative lock-in on the part of the potential new member states. [1]

Political stability is also perceived as a dynamic issue for the EU, as the failure to stability is seen as merely an invitation to introduce instability. As such, this point relates in particular to the broad acknowledgement of the significant changes that have occurred at the global political level since the end of the Cold War. In particular the process of European integration has been fundamental in bringing stability to the region. [1]

When looking beyond the beginning of the Cold War, Europe has been one of the most instable regions in the world. The past 65 years represent the longest period of peace in European history. This is despite the fact that during these years Europe saw one major ethnic war (the Yugoslavia breakup 1991-1995), and only two minor conflicts (the 1956 Soviet intervention in Hungary and the 1974 Greco-Turkish war in Cyprus). The early years of the Cold War (1945-63) were marked by a handful of major crises, although none brought Europe to the brink of war. Since 1963, however, there have been no East-West crises in Europe. Although, during these 65 years there have not been many instances that Europe has been facing instability, history does not favor that state to continue forever. Therefore, political stability is one of the most vital driving forces behind the European Union. [2, 3]

The objectives of Europe Political Stability:

  • Avoid War
  • Increase Economic Growth

Enablers:

  • Will to avoid war
  • Trade
  • Economical growth

Inhibitors:

  • Boarder Disputes
  • Civilian War
  • Financial Crisis
  • Changes in Religion/Society Makeup

Paradigms:

Due to the history of Europe political stability can be look on as privilege and should never be regraded as a constant state. Therefore, member states have to work in every sense towards increasing stability.

To establish a greater stability in neighboring countries the EU is and will continue to seek continues expansion.

As history of Europe is full of violence that could enable the EU to form a stronger hold on the member states that could lead to EU being a super state.

Experts:

  • Politicians
  • Global Executives
  • Reporters
  • Heads of Civil Movements

Resources: