Difference between revisions of "Oil Production 2030"

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*[[1) Business as usual]]
*[[1) Business as usual]]


*[[2) Successful Kopenhagen]]
*[[2) Change of Guards]]


*[[3) Too little - too late]]
*[[3) Too little - too late]]

Revision as of 17:23, 7 October 2009

Team Members

  • Mihai Andreoiu
  • Michael Aouad
  • Joost d'Hooghe
  • Phil Poetter
  • Shirley Yuen


Scenarios

Following are the 4 scenarios that have been developed for 'oil production 2030':

New Driving Forces

Edited Driving Forces


Research Questions

  • Will strong political and religious agendas reflect in 'oil politics'?
  • Oil, as a strategic asset as well as an energy source. Will there be global political alliances between oil producing and non-producing countries?
  • Has OPEC gotten its act together in order to tighten control on oil supplies?
  • Will there be strong global government regulations regarding fossil fuel usage?
  • How successfull have international agreements (e.g. Kyoto Protocol) been in decreasing energy use?
  • How is the world economy developing?
  • How is the economy in the emerging markets developing? are they going through the same industrailization process like developed countries?
  • Are renewable energy sources economically viable?
  • Will consumers demand green energy supply due to ongoing global warming?
  • Will the growth of the population continue till 2030?
  • Do oil (and gas) continue to be the major source of energy?
  • Will the global energy consumption decrease due to improvements in more efficient use of energy?
  • What are the chances of finding oil in not yet explored locations such as deep see regions?
  • Will improvement in drilling technology increase the oil production?
  • What are the alternative energy sources?
  • Will changes in mobility change the use of energy?

Research Topics


Systems diagram

First draft systems diagram

  • Systemsmap 1.JPG

Second draft systems diagram

  • Oil production systems map 2.JPG

Third draft using mind map

Resources