Difference between revisions of "Future of Russia in 2030"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Line 62: Line 62:


=== Technological Driving Forces ===
=== Technological Driving Forces ===
# [[1]]
# [[2]]


=DIAGRAMS=
=DIAGRAMS=

Revision as of 10:24, 11 September 2009

INTRODUCTION

By asking questions about present day Russia and looking at trends, we aim to develop 4 plausible but unconventional scenarios about Russia's future in 2030.

GROUP MEMBERS

Ankit Anand
Chih-Hou Chen
Andrei Grigorian
Mark Pospisilik
Elsa Sheng

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

  1. Economic Questions
  2. Political Questions
  3. Technological Questions
  4. Foreign Investment Questions
  5. Racism in Russia
  6. Demographics
  7. Miscellaneous

LINKS

1. Putin's Russia: past imperfect, future uncertain, Dale Roy Herspring http://books.google.nl/books?hl=nl&lr=&id=4Y9_fYt9iagC&oi=fnd&pg=PR11&dq=Russia+future&ots=nvGBWNl5X6&sig=sK9ZU5Q7eIwYv1JTDj3GXtIfeSc#v=onepage&q=&f=false

Russia: continuity and change By Gerald Hinteregger, Hans-Georg Heinrich, Hans-Georg Heinrich (Univ.-Doz. Dr.) http://books.google.nl/books?id=1YGJDLpLYWEC&printsec=frontcover&dq=Russia+future&lr=&source=gbs_similarbooks_s&cad=1#v=onepage&q=Russia%20future&f=false

2. http://www.plausiblefutures.com/ Just type Russia in as a keyword and it will give any related news

3. Chances for a Reset in Russian Politics "Russia in Global Affairs". № 2, April - June 2009 By Dmitry Badovsky http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/numbers/27/1274.html

REFERENCE

1.http://eng.globalaffairs.ru/ A journal on foreign affairs and international relations

2.http://www.weforum.org/pdf/GCR09/GCR20092010fullreport.pdf 2009-2010 the Global Competitive Report, take a look at pg.210-pg211

3.https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/rs.html

DRIVING FORCES

Political Driving Forces

  1. The increment degree of corruption and bureaucracy of Government
  2. The trend of geopolitics--integration to EU

Societal Driving Forces

  1. Decline of the Russian population
  2. The wider gap between poor and rich

Environmental Driving Forces

  1. Enforcement of Environmental policy in Russia
  2. Increasing need for clean energy

Economic Driving Forces

  1. Increasing value of Nature Resource (Oil, Natural Gas) in Russia
  2. The Rise of BRIC Economies

Technological Driving Forces

  1. 1
  2. 2

DIAGRAMS

INTERVIEWS

SCENARIOS

  1. 1. Axis: Greater Freedom vs Greater Authority and State Control
  2. 2. Scenario 2
  3. 3. Scenario 3
  4. 4. Scenario 4