Turkey Joining the EU

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search

Description:

The European Union started membership talks regarding Turkey in October, 2005. As additional Eastern countries join the Western-dominated EU, the entity faces increased social and political challenges but potentially positions itself as a superior global power. Proponents see the change as a way to stabilize Europe's relationship with the Middle East.

There are still a series of concerns regarding Turkey, especially because of its close ties to other Middle East countries due to religion similarities. One of the aasumption is that Europe needs Turkey as a "buffer" protecting Europe, and consequently the European Union, from waves of immigrants coming from that area.

Enablers:

  • Economic opportunity
  • Global Competition
  • Need to stabilize Eastern-Western relationships
  • Can create stronger connections between EU and some countries supplying oil and gas
  • Access to new markets
  • Islamic religion growing in Europe

Inhibitors:

  • Objections by France and Germany
  • Irreconcilable differences in legal systems
  • Cultural and religious differences
  • Economic uncertainty
  • Fear of Mass Migration

Paradigms:

  • Globalization versus regionalization
  • A nation state as a piece of land versus a nation state as group of people

Experts:

Timing:

Discussion have already begun. Membership could occur in the next 10 years.

Resources: