Difference between revisions of "The future of mobility"

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(New page: What are edge cities? An edge city is a concentration of business, shopping and entertainment outside a traditional urban area in what had been recently been a residential suburb or semi-...)
 
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What are edge cities?
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Team members</h2>
* René de Groot
* Mark Duivesteijn
* Stefan Guijt
* Sander van der Zon
<br>


An edge city is a concentration of business, shopping and entertainment outside a traditional urban area in what had been recently been a residential suburb or semi-rural community.
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Cheat Sheet:</h2>


How big are edge cities?
=== Edge cities ===
[[What are edge cities?]]<br>
[[How big are edge cities?]]<br>
[[How many people live in an Edge City?]]<br>
[[How is the transportation to and in Edge Cities?]]<br>
[[What impact have edge cities on the transportation/environment/etc?]]<br>
[[Will there be more edge cities in the future?]]<br><br>


Joel Garreau , the writer of a book about edge cities defined the following rules, of what may called an city edge.
=== Teleworking ===
[[How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?]]<br>
[[How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?]]<br>
[[Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)]]<br>
'''[[Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?]]'''<br>
[[What is the impact on traffic jams?]]<br>
[[What is the impact on the environment?]]<br>
[[What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?]]<br>
[[What are the cost/benefits for the employee?]]<br>
[[What are the cost/benefits for the company?]]<br>
[[Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?]]<br><br>


It must have more than 465.000 m2 of office space. A city edge is characterized by more job space than bedrooms.
=== Technologies ===
[[What future technologies are being developed?]]<br>
[[What are the current technologies being used?]]<br>
[[What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?]]<br>
[[Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?]]<br>
[[Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?]]<br>
[[What about hydrogen? Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?]]<br>
<br>


How many people live in an Edge City?
=== General questions ===
[[Who are traveling?]]<br>
[[How do people travel?]]<br>
[[Why do people travel?]]<br>
[[Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?]]<br>
[[How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?]]<br>
[[How and mow much do companies support public transportation?]]<br>
[[How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?]]<br>
[[How many cars are there in the Netherlands?]]<br>
[[How many roads are there? Length?]]<br>
[[How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?]]<br>
<br>


A city edge has enough space to house 20.000 to 50.000 people.
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Driving Forces:</h2>
[[Working at home]]<br>
[[Traffic jams]]<br>
[[Exhausting Oil Supply]]<br>
[[Traffic prices]]<br>
[[Teleworking]]<br>
[[Changing needs]]<br>
[[Travelling salesmen problem]]<br>
[[Upcoming Technological Changes]]<br>
[[Upcoming Edge Cities]]<br>
[[Environmental Changes]]<br>


How is the transportation to and in Edge Cities?
<br>


Edge cities are most of the time only accessible by automotive vehicles and lack of sidewalks.
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Systems Diagram:</h2>
[[Image:SystemDiagram.jpg|750px]]


What impact have edge cities on the transportation/environment/etc?


The edge cities lead towards large areas of office space that are accessible by car, which results into a larger CO2 emission which damages the environment. When building edge cities this has to be taken into consideration.
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">"Old Scenarios:"</h2>
[[Future Transportation]]<br>
[[Edge-cities]]<br>
[[Grow in teleworking]]<br>
[[Exhausting Fossil Fuels and New Technology]]<br>


Will there be more edge cities in the future?
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">The comments made by the CIO team:</h2>


When a city population grows, edge cities can be created to supply citizens with work, housing and entertainment. Because of the growing Dutch population it’s unavoidable that new edge cities will be created.
There are 3 main issues why people want to be mobile:


TELEWORKING
* Transport of Goods
* Entertainment
* Work


How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?
Explore deeper into the scenarios, there is no clear solution


Nowadays a lot of firms use teleworking, when for a job no psychical attendance is required it is possible to telework. The availability of broadband internet nationwide encourages this trend.
Teleworking has also to deal with trust, employer -> employee, does the employee really the amount of work he says he does.


How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?
Explore also extreme things i.e. No more cheap ryanair like flights


This depends on the company itself and the business wherein it is active, an IT firm would have more teleworkers than a banking firm.
Give scenarios in ways of the use of mobility. Set the amount of mobility for each scenario, so the key uncertainties become clear.


Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)
<h2 style="background-color: #F5F9FA; border-left:1px solid #AAAAAA;border-right:1px solid #AAAAAA; padding-left: 10px;">Revised Scenarios:</h2>
After discussing the comments made on our "previous" scenarios we changed our 4 scenarios into the following:
[[Image:scenarios_new.jpg|frame|Figure 2: Future Scenarios]]


With the explosive growth of broadband internet connections people could work from everywhere, so if there is no physical attention required people could work from everywhere.
[[Innovators]]<br>
 
[[Radical change]]<br>
Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?
[[Risk/change avoiding]]<br>
 
?
 
What is the impact on traffic jams?
 
By adopting teleworking into the common business process, traffic jams could be reduced, people could work from home or leave later.
 
What is the impact on the environment?
 
Less cars, less traffic, means less CO2. If companies take the environment into consideration, this trend could help to reduce the CO2 emission, of course alternative measures have to be taken.
 
What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?
 
Instant messaging and VOIP technologies could encourage teleworking, people can talk to each other to create an more personal setting instead of email.
 
What are the cost/benefits for the employee?
 
    * No trafficjam frustration
    * Control your own time
    * No socal contact
 
What are the cost/benefits for the company?
 
    * Less control over employees
    * Reduction of lease cars and fuel.
 
Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?
 
What is the impact on the work that will be accomplished? do people work more/less when working from home for the same amount of money?
 
TECHNOLOGIES
 
What future technologies are being developed?
 
What are the current technologies being used?
 
What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?
 
What about electric?
 
      Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?
 
            acceptance?
 
      Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?
 
            acceptance?
 
What about hydrogen?
 
      Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?
 
GENERAL QUESTIONS
 
Who are traveling?
 
      Business people
 
      Students
 
      Older people
 
How do people travel?
 
Why do people travel?
 
Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?
 
How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?
 
How and mow much do companies support public transportation?
 
How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?
 
How many cars are there in the netherlands?
 
How many roads are there? Length?
 
How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?

Latest revision as of 15:43, 17 February 2012

Team members

  • René de Groot
  • Mark Duivesteijn
  • Stefan Guijt
  • Sander van der Zon


Cheat Sheet:

Edge cities

What are edge cities?
How big are edge cities?
How many people live in an Edge City?
How is the transportation to and in Edge Cities?
What impact have edge cities on the transportation/environment/etc?
Will there be more edge cities in the future?

Teleworking

How much and what kind of companies are using teleworking?
How many people are working from home or another location then the main office?
Are people bound to working places? (IT/hospitals/etc)
Where are they located/What size has the company/what sector are they in?
What is the impact on traffic jams?
What is the impact on the environment?
What is the impact of programs like skype and webbex on teleworking?
What are the cost/benefits for the employee?
What are the cost/benefits for the company?
Are companies or the government supporting this way of working? and Why/not?

Technologies

What future technologies are being developed?
What are the current technologies being used?
What happens if the fuel burns out? Then what?
Batteries? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?
Hybride? Life? Coverage? Charge time/stations? Costs? saving environment?acceptance?
What about hydrogen? Life? Coverage? Fuel stations? Costs? saving environment? acceptance?

General questions

Who are traveling?
How do people travel?
Why do people travel?
Would public transportation still be available in 10 to 15 years?
How and how much does the government try to encourage the public transportation?
How and mow much do companies support public transportation?
How much cleaner is public transportation versus a car?
How many cars are there in the Netherlands?
How many roads are there? Length?
How is the mobility of the future affected by the credit crisis?

Driving Forces:

Working at home
Traffic jams
Exhausting Oil Supply
Traffic prices
Teleworking
Changing needs
Travelling salesmen problem
Upcoming Technological Changes
Upcoming Edge Cities
Environmental Changes


Systems Diagram:

SystemDiagram.jpg


"Old Scenarios:"

Future Transportation
Edge-cities
Grow in teleworking
Exhausting Fossil Fuels and New Technology

The comments made by the CIO team:

There are 3 main issues why people want to be mobile:

  • Transport of Goods
  • Entertainment
  • Work

Explore deeper into the scenarios, there is no clear solution

Teleworking has also to deal with trust, employer -> employee, does the employee really the amount of work he says he does.

Explore also extreme things i.e. No more cheap ryanair like flights

Give scenarios in ways of the use of mobility. Set the amount of mobility for each scenario, so the key uncertainties become clear.

Revised Scenarios:

After discussing the comments made on our "previous" scenarios we changed our 4 scenarios into the following:

Figure 2: Future Scenarios

Innovators
Radical change
Risk/change avoiding