Difference between revisions of "The future of communication in 2015"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
(PXxLuZJjqWLxi)
 
(69 intermediate revisions by 9 users not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
== Introduction ==
HZKIeE  <a href="http://mlbnptyxylyp.com/">mlbnptyxylyp</a>, [url=http://gbfyurchjpgq.com/]gbfyurchjpgq[/url], [link=http://xoltlxgqzyij.com/]xoltlxgqzyij[/link], http://eqrdvoxzlrse.com/
 
This page will contain the results of the scenario planning process of group 5 of class RSM EMBA05 on the following subject:
 
'''The future of communication in 2015'''
 
The idea behind this proposed scenario originates from the intensifying battle unfolding in The Netherlands between the incumbent telephony provider, KPN and the cable operator, UPC.  Both companies enjoy a monopoly in their core product offerings – that is to say telephony, in the case of KPN and TV/Video, in the case of UPC – and were originally content to restrict their efforts solely to such offerings.  Gradually, however, rapid technological advancements enabled both companies to compete across multiple products  - TV/Video, the Internet and telephony (fixed and mobile).  A recent development was UPC’s attack on KPN’s fixed line telephony business through VoIP (voice over IP).  This was the first step in the rapid convergence of all technologies to the IP network.  KPN have responded through an attack on UPC’s core product by investing heavily in TV/Video over the Internet (IPTV).   How will the battle between the companies now develop? 
 
The key to being able to answer this question is the drawing of a considered conclusion on how the communications industry – and in this we include the entertainment business also - will develop over the medium term – say the next 10 years.
 
== Research questions ==
[[Research question - communication 2015]]<br>
 
 
== Driving Forces==
===Increasing Fear of Sabotage on internet (RR)===
[[Increasing Fear of Sabotage on internet]]
 
===Increase the connectivity between human and media (GB)===
[[Increase the connectivity between human and media]]
 
===Convergence of all media to IP network (GK)===
[[Convergence of all media to IP network]]
 
===Increase Governamental Control on the Internet (RR)===
[[Governmental Control of the Internet]]
 
===The Increase in the speed of internet connection (GB)===
[[The Increase in the speed of internet connection]]
 
===The Increase in ubiquity of the internet (GK)===
[[The Increase in ubiquity of the internet]]
 
===Increase in teleworking (JP)===
[[increase in teleworking]]
 
===Globalization (RR)===
[[Globalization]]
 
===Improvement Nano/Biotechnology (EL)===
[[Improvement Nano/Biotechnology]]
 
===Growing of closed community (JP)===
[[Growing of closed community]]
 
===Increased used of MSN and other instant messaging tools (JP)===
[[Increased used of MSN and other instant messaging tools ]]
 
===Disappearance of "family" (RR)===
[[Disappearance of "family"]]
 
===Increasing content management problems as result of new technologies(JP)===
[[Increasing content management problems as result of new technologies]]
 
 
=Technology= <br>
<br>
- level of convergence of all technologies to the IP network (Jeroen)<br>
- development of new technologies (Graham)<br>
- security (RR) <br>
- creation of unique identifiers and convergence of identifiers/numbers (Giuseppe)<br>
- diffusion of Wireless (mobile) access (Wi-Fi/Wi-Max) to the Internet (Giuseppe)<br>
 
=Strategy= <br>
- Commoditization of technology and impact of low/no cost wireless connection (Erik) <br>
- Appropriation of value (e.g. voip for skype)(Jeroen) <br>
- Role of television channels: who will own the broadcasting (Graham) <br>
- New role of advertisement (Giuseppe) <br>
 
=Society= <br>
- Influence of telecommunication on mobility, work habits, lifestyle and on interaction among individuals (Erik) <br>
- Level of access to entertainment (Graham) <br>
- Is technology the driver or is demand the driver (Jeroen)<br>
- Privacy and separation of work from personal life (Rolando) <br>
 
 
 
== Research Documentation ==
 
 
 
 
 
Pause or Play? The Future of Interactive Services for TV [http://www.accenture.com/xdoc/en/industries/communications/access/pauseplayv2.pdf Accenture white paper]
 
Path to Profitability: How Cable Companies can Achieve Attractive Returns on iTV Services[http://www.accenture.com/xdoc/en/industries/communications/access/path_to_profitabilityv3.pdf  another Accenture white paper]
<br>
<br>
Freeband Communication is a Dutch national research program aiming to create a leading knowledge position for the Netherlands in the area of ambient, intelligent communication. Link to [http://www.freeband.nl/index.cfm?language=en Freeband]
 
Personal Networking Pilot 2008<br>
link to: [http://www.ctit.utwente.nl/research/projects/bsik/freeband/pnp.doc/ PNP 2008]
 
[http://www.identity20.com/media/OSCON2005/ Identity 2.0]
 
== Systems diagram ==
 
As a result of the first brainstorm the next concept system diagram is made:<br>
<br>
[[Image:Systems diagram gr4.jpg]]
 
A lot of thinking an new insights made it necessary to start again with the systems diagram. Basis of this new diagram are the driving forces, the enablers and inhibitors.<br>
[[Image:Systems_diagram_2_gr4.jpg]]
 
 
The following "mindmap" is also a help c.q. a start to determine all the aspects related to communication in the future. Please send your comments and/or additions to the creator.
<br>
[[Image:Communication_in_2020.png]]

Latest revision as of 08:01, 2 June 2010

HZKIeE <a href="http://mlbnptyxylyp.com/">mlbnptyxylyp</a>, [url=http://gbfyurchjpgq.com/]gbfyurchjpgq[/url], [link=http://xoltlxgqzyij.com/]xoltlxgqzyij[/link], http://eqrdvoxzlrse.com/

Retrieved from "https://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=The_future_of_communication_in_2015&oldid=167542"