The Future of TV

Description:

TV is not a new thing to most of the people now. But with the development and prevalence of computer and Internet, whether TV will still exist and benefits people or it will gradually disappear comes into discussion. In my opinion, TV will keep on playing an important role at least in the future 15 years. It is the driving force that drives the development of "Global Village".

Enablers:

- The market for home-based TV is over twice as large as that of home-based computing (Kerckhove, D.)

- Unlike computers, TV is undeniably "user-friendly"

- Not all the district has Internet. Because set Internet needs modems,telephone or ADSL lines, but TV's network has been built more widely.

- TV is cheaper than computer

Inhibitors:

- Extending the retirement age to another 10 years so people will have to work more

Paradigms:

There has been enormous concern about the consequences of human population growth for the environment and for social and economic development. But this growth is likely to come to an end in the foreseeable future.

Experts:

United Nations US Department of Health and Human Services

Timing:

Improving on earlier methods of probabilistic forecasting, here we show that there is around an 85 per cent chance that the world's population will stop growing before the end of the century. There is a 60 per cent probability that the world's population will not exceed 10 billion people before 2100, and around a 15 per cent probability that the world's population at the end of the century will be lower than it is today. For different regions, the date and size of the peak population will vary considerably.

Web Resources:

http://www.un.org