Difference between revisions of "Scenario Thinking Portal"

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The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well.<br> The idea is to accompany the links by a short describtion of the site.<br><br>
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<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario planning and future studies in general. You are invited to use the links collected here. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br>  
The idea of this portal is to accompany the links by a short description of the site. Users are more than welcome to leave their links here as long as they are related to scenario thinking in general. Please share your knowledge with us and group the links as guided by the following categorization in this page.


==Resource Pages==
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''This section contains links to other scenario or future resource sites.''
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<p align="right">''Go back to [[Main Page]]''</p>
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<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2">  Links, articles and other resources on scenario planning. Some of the pages are specific to scenario planning processes, others are broader and linked to other foresight processes.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/  '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario planning techniques. </font></td>
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario planning processes. Some of them aim at the future of a specific organization or country, others aim at the description of the future processes and trends on a global scale.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenarios on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br>
</font></td>
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those scenario planning processes.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links abouth scenario planning processes.<br><br>


====Which World?====
</font></td>
[http://mars3.gps.caltech.edu/whichworld/explore.html Website] with scenario's for the 21th century, including global trends and scenario's as well as regional.<br>
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[[Comments on 'Which World?']]
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<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario planning. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflicts.<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br><br>
</font></td>
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical information from many different fields, including both local and global data. It also covers demographical data, economic statistics, trends on IT development and much more.<br>


====Scenario planning====
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ Page] by Martin Börjesson, scenario thinker and strategist.<br>  
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br>
A one-page site about scenario planning, with links to information, articles, reports and more.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).
[[Comments on 'Scenario planning']]
</font></td>
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Planning or Scenario Learning.'''


====Plausible Futures====
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
[http://www.plausiblefutures.com Page] with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. All links with a short description of its contents, divided by subsections. There is also a section on scenario's.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br>
[[Comments on 'Plausible Futures']]
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.
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</font></td>
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==Scenario Processes==
<tr>
''This section contains links to example scenario processes.''<br>
====The National Intelligence Council====
The National Intelligence Council is a centre of strategic counselling within the US government, advising senior policy makers and the president.<br>
[http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html This page] contains some long term global  trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br>
[[Comments on 'Scenario Processes']]


====Shell scenario page====
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Other sites]]''' <font size="-2">Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking and planning, not fitting into any of the other categories.''<br>
On [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html this site] you will find information on scenario planning by Shell. This includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br>
[[Comments on 'Shell scenario page']]
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
 
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] Site about the nature and possibilities of change.
====European Union scenario page====
</font><br>
[http://europa.eu.int/comm/cdp/scenario/scenarios_en.pdf PDF file] with an example of scenario planning within the European Commission<br>
<font size="-2">[http://www.gbn.com/ '''Global Business Network''']  Scenario planning consulting company and membership organization.</font>
 
<br>
 
<font size="-2">[http://www.shapingtomorrow.com/ '''Shaping Tomorrow'''Foresight, trends analysis, horizon scanning, strategy and change management portal with global member network</font>
[http://www.freepint.com/issues/170403.pdf?PHPSESSID=a2ae001192110d46d9b54367b2e68b48 freepint.com] Links to examples and an article about scenario planning(on page 8 of the PDF)
<br>
 
<font size="-2">[http://www.sric-bi.com/consulting/ScenarioPlan.shtml '''SRIC-BI Scenario Planning''']  Standford Research Institue Consulting-Business Intelligence scenario planning.</font>
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==Business and Economy==
''This section contains links to resources about Business and Economy.''
 
====Global Business Network====
The [http://www.gbn.com/ArticlesDisplayServlet.srv?taxId=111 website] of the Global Business Network gives us valuable information concerning the economy and future trends.
 
====World Economic Forum====
The [http://www.weforum.org World Economic Forum] is an indipendent foundation, with representatives from many leading companies, aiming at coorporation between businesses to address global social isseus like povarty. Working from the point of view that major social isseus need to be addressed by working together on a global scale, and that the private sector has a responsebilaty to play an importand role in this.
Looking ahead, anticipating the future is an importand tool for this organisation.
 
====Peak Oil====
[http://www.mbendi.com/indy/oilg/p0070.htm#27 Scenario] on peak-oil, the theory that the decline in oilproduction that is a result of limited recources will generate a long term recession. We we have nog choice but to adapt. Site by MBendi, an African information site.
 
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==Politics==
''This section contains links to political sites that are of interest for scenario thinking.''
 
====Project for the New Amarican Century====
[http://www.pnac.info/ Page] by conservetive Amaricans who are 'concerned with the decline in the strength of America’s defenses, and in the problems this would create for the exercise of American leadership around the globe and, ultimately, for the preservation of peace.'<br>
And [http://www.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,3604,1036571,00.html here] you will find a comment on this movement by the britisch newspaper ''The Guardian'', linking the organisation to the last war in Iraq.  
 
====International Institute for Strategic Studies====
[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 IISS] is an independent organiation for conflict studies. It's aim is to provide polici makers all over the world with 'the best possible objective information on military and political developments relevant tot the prospects, course and consequences of conflict having an important military dimension'.
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==Science and Technology==
''This section contains links to sites about scientifical and technological development, that are of interest to scenario thinking.''
 
====Foresight Institute====
[http://www.foresight.org An institute] aiming at preparing the world for technology's to come. Mainley focused on nanotechnology.
 
====Institute of Phisics====
The [http://www.iop.org/ Institute of Phisics] is a promotional institute on the education and knowledge of pure and applied phisics.<br>
Site with information about a wide range of topics concerning phisics. Many free online journals on differnt topics, including new technologies.
 
====Edge Foundation====
A [http://www.edge.org thinktank site] for the worlds top scientists. Aimed at promoting 'inquiry into and discussion of intellectual, philosophical, artistic, and literary issues, as well as to work for the intellectual and social achievement of society.'
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==Statistics==
''This section contains links to usefull statistical data.''
<br>
<br>
===Demographical Data===


====UN Department of Economic and Social affairs====
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UN [http://www.un.org/esa/population/unpop.htm site] with lots of usefull demographical data, economical as well as social. Contains prospects of population, urbanisation and other demographical development as well.
</tr>


====Gender Stats====
[http://devdata.worldbank.org/ Database of gender statistics] by the world bank. Contains statistics per regeon, theme and per country.


====Interactive Map====
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[http://www.thud.nl/wkmaps/ Map of Europe] with different demographical data.
<p align="right">''Go back to [[Main Page]]''</p>
 
===Economical Statistics===
 
====WTO Trade Statistics====
Up-to-date [http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database trade statistics] by the World Trade Organisation. Statistics on World trade as well as statistics per country. Current as well as past statistics.
 
===IT Statistics===
 
====European IT statistics====
[http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm Statistics] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).
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==Futurism==
''This section contains links to sites about and from futurists and their activities.''<br>
''[[What is the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning]]
 
====Association of Professional Futurists====
[http://www.profuturists.com/ Page] of a community of professional futurists.
 
 
<br>
[[http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/LIACS_ICT_in_Business_2005 >>back>>]]

Latest revision as of 05:34, 20 August 2014

Portal.jpg The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario planning and future studies in general. You are invited to use the links collected here. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well.

The idea of this portal is to accompany the links by a short description of the site. Users are more than welcome to leave their links here as long as they are related to scenario thinking in general. Please share your knowledge with us and group the links as guided by the following categorization in this page.

Go back to Main Page

Scenario Resource Pages Links, articles and other resources on scenario planning. Some of the pages are specific to scenario planning processes, others are broader and linked to other foresight processes.

Example links:
Scenario planning is a page by Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.

Plausible Futures is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario planning techniques.
Scenario Processes Links to sites with scenario planning processes. Some of them aim at the future of a specific organization or country, others aim at the description of the future processes and trends on a global scale.

Example links:
The National Intelligence Council is a page that contains long term global trend scenarios on many different issues, based on intelligence information.
Shell scenario page is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones.

Sources of Change Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those scenario planning processes.

Examples links:
The Great Climate Flip-flop is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by William H. Calvin. An article on sudden climate change.
Oil Depletion Analysis Centre tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links abouth scenario planning processes.

Fields of Interest Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario planning. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.

Example links:
International Institute for Strategic Studies provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflicts.
Cold Fusion - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject.

Statistical Data Statistical information from many different fields, including both local and global data. It also covers demographical data, economic statistics, trends on IT development and much more.

Example links:
WTO Trade Statistics Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.
European IT Statistics relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).

Futurism Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go here to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Planning or Scenario Learning.

Example links:
Association of Professional Futurists is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network.
World Future Society is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.

Other sites Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking and planning, not fitting into any of the other categories.

Example links:
The Change Project Site about the nature and possibilities of change.
Global Business Network Scenario planning consulting company and membership organization.
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight, trends analysis, horizon scanning, strategy and change management portal with global member network
SRIC-BI Scenario Planning Standford Research Institue Consulting-Business Intelligence scenario planning.

Go back to Main Page