Difference between revisions of "Scenario Thinking Portal"

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==Recource Pages==
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''This secton contains links to other scenario or future recource sites''
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<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td>
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario planning and future studies in general. You are invited to use the links collected here. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br>
The idea of this portal is to accompany the links by a short description of the site. Users are more than welcome to leave their links here as long as they are related to scenario thinking in general. Please share your knowledge with us and group the links as guided by the following categorization in this page.


====Scenario planning====
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[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ Page] by Martin Börjesson, scenario thinker and strategist.<br>  
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A one-page site about scenario planning, with links to information, articeles, reports and more.<br>
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<p align="right">''Go back to [[Main Page]]''</p>
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<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2">  Links, articles and other resources on scenario planning. Some of the pages are specific to scenario planning processes, others are broader and linked to other foresight processes.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario planning techniques. </font></td>
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario planning processes. Some of them aim at the future of a specific organization or country, others aim at the description of the future processes and trends on a global scale.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenarios on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br>
</font></td>
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those scenario planning processes.<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links abouth scenario planning processes.<br><br>


====Plauseble Futures====
</font></td>
[http://www.plausiblefutures.com Page] with a wide veriaty of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. All links with a short describtion of its contens, devided by subsections. There is also a section on scenario's.<br><br>
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<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario planning. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflicts.<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br><br>
</font></td>
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical information from many different fields, including both local and global data. It also covers demographical data, economic statistics, trends on IT development and much more.<br>


==Scenario Processes==
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
''This section contains links to example scenario processes''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br>
====The National Intelligence Council====
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).
The National Intelligence Council is a center of strategic counceling within the US governement, advising senior policimakers and the president.<br>
</font></td>
[http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html This page] contains some long term global  trend scenario's on many different isseus, based on intelligence information.  
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Planning or Scenario Learning.'''


====Shell scenario page====
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
On [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html this site] you will find information on scenario planning by Shell. This includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br>
</font><font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.
</font></td>
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[http://europa.eu.int/comm/cdp/scenario/scenarios_en.pdf europa.eu.int] Example of scenario planning within the European Commission<br>
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[http://www.freepint.com/issues/170403.pdf?PHPSESSID=a2ae001192110d46d9b54367b2e68b48 freepint.com] Links to examples and an article about about scenario planning(on page 8 of the PDF)<br><br>


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<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Other sites]]''' <font size="-2">Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking and planning, not fitting into any of the other categories.''<br>
</font><font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br>
</font><font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project''']  Site about the nature and possibilities of change.
</font><br>
<font size="-2">[http://www.gbn.com/ '''Global Business Network''']  Scenario planning consulting company and membership organization.</font>
<br>
<font size="-2">[http://www.shapingtomorrow.com/ '''Shaping Tomorrow''']  Foresight, trends analysis, horizon scanning, strategy and change management portal with global member network</font>
<br>
<font size="-2">[http://www.sric-bi.com/consulting/ScenarioPlan.shtml '''SRIC-BI Scenario Planning''']  Standford Research Institue Consulting-Business Intelligence scenario planning.</font>
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==Business and Economy==
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This section contains links to resources about Business and Economy
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[http://www.gbn.com/ArticlesDisplayServlet.srv?taxId=111 gbn.com]
Global Business Network, valuable information concerning the economy, future trends.


 
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[[http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/LIACS_ICT_in_Business_2005 >>back>>]]
<p align="right">''Go back to [[Main Page]]''</p>

Latest revision as of 05:34, 20 August 2014

Portal.jpg The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario planning and future studies in general. You are invited to use the links collected here. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well.

The idea of this portal is to accompany the links by a short description of the site. Users are more than welcome to leave their links here as long as they are related to scenario thinking in general. Please share your knowledge with us and group the links as guided by the following categorization in this page.

Go back to Main Page

Scenario Resource Pages Links, articles and other resources on scenario planning. Some of the pages are specific to scenario planning processes, others are broader and linked to other foresight processes.

Example links:
Scenario planning is a page by Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.

Plausible Futures is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario planning techniques.
Scenario Processes Links to sites with scenario planning processes. Some of them aim at the future of a specific organization or country, others aim at the description of the future processes and trends on a global scale.

Example links:
The National Intelligence Council is a page that contains long term global trend scenarios on many different issues, based on intelligence information.
Shell scenario page is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones.

Sources of Change Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those scenario planning processes.

Examples links:
The Great Climate Flip-flop is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by William H. Calvin. An article on sudden climate change.
Oil Depletion Analysis Centre tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links abouth scenario planning processes.

Fields of Interest Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario planning. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.

Example links:
International Institute for Strategic Studies provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflicts.
Cold Fusion - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject.

Statistical Data Statistical information from many different fields, including both local and global data. It also covers demographical data, economic statistics, trends on IT development and much more.

Example links:
WTO Trade Statistics Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.
European IT Statistics relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).

Futurism Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go here to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Planning or Scenario Learning.

Example links:
Association of Professional Futurists is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network.
World Future Society is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.

Other sites Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking and planning, not fitting into any of the other categories.

Example links:
The Change Project Site about the nature and possibilities of change.
Global Business Network Scenario planning consulting company and membership organization.
Shaping Tomorrow Foresight, trends analysis, horizon scanning, strategy and change management portal with global member network
SRIC-BI Scenario Planning Standford Research Institue Consulting-Business Intelligence scenario planning.

Go back to Main Page