Scenario 2 : Everything on the web are freely available - No existing Intellectual Property

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2009 - knowledge sharing increased & the way to differentiate changes for businesses

In 2009, copyrights will keep diminishing. Because of the Open Standards, Open Contents, fewer patents and copyrights, knowledge sharing will be increased in 2009. Which is very positive, knowledge sharing is needed to prevent reinventing the wheel.
On one hand software companies or mutinationals, thus the companies that normanlly own the patents, will be discouraged to innovate, because having patents is not profitable anymore, everything is standardized.
But on the other hand, the fact that everything is standardized, calls for other kinds of innovation ex. if it will be possible to play a Sony vide game on a X-Box, Sony and Microsoft would be forced really compete on the quality of the game.
For software companies, the differentiation would be emphasized on the service they deliver, because the software is standardized. Now it is already the case that 70% of the IT- revenue comes from services, while only 30% comes from manufacture.

2010 - Manipulatable data on internet and businesses keep changing

Traditional intermediars (businesses whcih where selling/distributing music, movies, software on the internet) businesses have either completely or partly changed their businesses or diminished.
Software businesses generate the revenue by their service businesses, no longer by the sales of software. They differentiate in terms of the quality of their services and are doing quite well.

Software development gets a boost and very high quality and innovative software are developed in contribution of the software developing community of the internet. New, evolutionary algoritms are invented/developed.

On the other hand we have the depression of 3th world countries because of the strong and numerous IP laws. Innovation or any other form of business in the 3th world countries, especially on the internet, are being stagnated by the IPP laws. Existing and upcoming SME are diminishing as a result of IP laws.

As a result of all the freely available and manupilatable data on the internet, misleading and not reliable information arise online. The existing technology are not intended yet to protect this kind of misuse and manupilation of data by any means of tracking down the perpetrator.

2011 - Creative Commons replaces tight IPP rules

A war between the big companies (10% of the business world) & stakeholders & SME & 3th world countries (90% of the business world) is inclining to end in favor of the latter.

In the meantime new ways of internet criminality have arised. The Government comes with rules against criminality online.

A new form now completely replaces the old form where copyrights and patents thwarted knowledge sharing, and ultimatily creative development; and also where patents were most of the time used for the wrong purposes.

The form of IPP that we have now, is one that encourages knowledge sharing, one that gives the owner of the intellectual property more options than only copyright. One that is not meant to completely replace copyrights, but only to offer some more options, like "allowance to use the material of this scientific research, if you mention the authors name". This form of IPP is nowadays already known as Creative Commons (CC); in 2010 CC will be gloablly used, together with te open standards, open software and open content.