Proliferation of nuclear weapons

Description: The number of states which have nuclear weapons or are known to be developping them is raising. The world system to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons is being rapidly eroded, threatening a "cascade of proliferation".

Enablers: - Decreasing cost of the nuclear technology

- Change of worldwide military equilibrium

- Desire to have more politica influence

Inhibitors:

- UN agreement to regulamentate the development and use of nuclear weapons

- Development of a new technology able to inhibit nuclear weapons

- Regulamentation and control of the supply of fissile material

Paradigms:

-Before: Only the biggest military powers,with huge economic resources, had nuclears weapons

- Now: Small country, with limited economic resources, can aim to have nuclear weapons.

Esperts:

[edit]Experts: [edit]Timing: [edit]Web Resources: Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Driving_Forces_Template"