Proliferation of extremist / dictatorial regimes

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Inhibitors

- Democratic values. There are countries that despite being poor have strong democratic valued embedded in their culture such that an authoritarian regime would not be possible. These are normally countries that have obtained independence through big sacrifices i.e. India.

- Economic growth: As a nation develops and the standard of living increases the chances that the political system is a democracy are higher. The poor class diminishes meaning that the numbers of those to whom populist leaders prone to become dictators appeal decrease;

- Foreign intervention:If such regimes emerge and threaten the security of the world there will be international mechanisms set in motion in order to correct the situation. Of course rightfulness and selection of such interventions is a much debated subject. One major question emerges: Do the large oil importers care about the faith of people in these countries or mainly about the energy resurces there?

Paradigms

If the need for resources of more developed countries increases while extremist control of such resources by certain producing countries still exists, it is likely to see more international conflicts or bilateral controversial deals. This is would lead to a situation similar to Shell's "Scramble" energy scenario for 2050.