Difference between revisions of "Increasing influence of US polices on South Korea polices"

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<table border="0" id="toc"><tr id="toctitle"><td align="center">
Note: A good source is also the CIA's conference on the future of North Korea done in 2001. the report is visible here (http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html)
<b>Table of contents</b> <script type="text/javascript">showTocToggle("show","hide")</script></td></tr><tr id="tocinside"><td>
 
<div class="tocline"><a href="#1._Description">1 1. Description</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#2._Enablers">2 2. Enablers</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#3._Inhibitors">3 3. Inhibitors</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#4._Paradigms">4 4. Paradigms</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#5._Experts">5 5. Experts</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#6._timing">6 6. timing</a><br /></div>
<div class="tocline"><a href="#7._web_resources">7 7. web resources</a><br /></div>
</td></tr></table>




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[edit]Driving Forces
Here we will list Driving Forces that are specific to the process to understand the future of the Korean peninsula in 2015+


Table of contents [showhide] 
Please remember to be specific and indicate movement (whether it is growing or declining). For Example:
1 1. Description
 
2 2. Enablers


3 3. Inhibitors
BAD - Anti-Americanism
BETTER - Anti-Americanism in Korea
BEST - Increase of Anti-Americanism in Korea


4 4. Paradigms


5 5. Experts


6 6. Timing


7 7. web resources
  Daniel sighs
   
A nice lists of driving forces, but the instructions above expect you to develop the Driving Forces not just list them, but develop them as per the instructions in the link above. So does the instructions in the homework section. They comprise 35% of your grade as listed below.  
[edit]1. Description
With opening financial capital market as a starting point, Korea economy has been undergoing globalization which in turn brings out many ramifications in other fields.  




[edit]Political
The Sino-U.S. rivalry in the northeast Asia - Group 2
Pax Americana <---please read the instructions above!
Nationalism <---please read the instructions above!
Increasing influence of US polices on South Korea polices - Group 4
Increasing importance of North Korea situation to South Korea - Group 4
Continuation of Kim Jung Il's attempt to sustain his regime - Group 1
The nature of divided penninsula between North and South Korea - Group 1
Historical experience of Japan's colonization and ambition - Group 1
Creation of Korea-US tight relationship since Korean war - Group 1
Increase in notion of pax-Americana - america's sole pre-eminence - Group 1
[edit]Economic
Globalization <-----please read the instructions above, there is already a Driving Force on globalisation which is very good
Increasing dependency of South Korean economy on exporting - Group 4
* More opening of South Korean economy to the world - Group 4


Europe and Japan began to compete effectively with the U.S - Group 2
As North Korea meets the limits of economice development they try to accept inter-korean Economic Cooperation - Group 2
The prolonged economic slump has discouraged people from moving to other residential areas - Group 2
increasing globalization of Korean economy- Group 1
no source of oil in korea- Group 1


[edit]2. Enablers
- globalization as a mega trend in the world


- growing economic interdependence with other countries


- high contribution of export in Korean economic development
2008 Beijing Olympics in China - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces!
FTA - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces!
Bipolarity in wealth - Group 3 <-----please read the instructions above
Economic Alignment between South and North Korea - Group 3
[edit]Societal
Increasing Women's rights in South Korea - Group 4
South Korea society is moving toward a western style demographic population - Group 4
Seoul's becoming of mega city - Group 1
Decrease in Confucian value in South Korea - Group 1
[edit]Technological
South Korea's tech competence is on the high skilled HR and high applied science - Group 4
South Korea's tech competence is on the IT & digital industry - Group 4
increase in availability of cheap broadband internet in ROK - Group 1
Stem cell technology - Group 3
[edit]Environmental
Materialism<---please read the instructions above!
Increasing relation between S.K economey and environmental issue - Group 4
shortage of land in korean penninsula - Group 1
Water Shortage - Group 3<---please read the instructions above!
Energy Crisis - Group 3 <---please read the instructions above!
[edit]Scenarios
Here is our scenarios.


[edit]3. Inhibitors
-resistance of domestic capital


-some ardent nationalists and anti-enterprise sentiment in current administration


[edit]4. Paradigms
globalization is truly a mega trend, engulfing the whole globe. There are not many countries that can resist this powerful flow. Korean economy is not exception as well. in fact, globalization of Korean economy becomes inevitable owing to the increasing interdependency with other nations. Making block economy based on region is a stepping stone towards real globalization and in that respect, by 2015 FTA among Asian countries (such as Korea, Japan, and China) is provable. FDI and other forms of mingling international capital in Korean economy will be also likely.








[edit]5. Experts
n/a








[edit]6. Timing
As a reference you can look at example uncertainties,research questions, driving forces and scenarios developed on a WIKI:
1995 Word Trade Oranization


1997 IMF crisis related to East-south Asian economic crisis in late 1990s
[edit]LIACS Scenarios 2005
Leiden University ICT in Business Post Graduate course scenarios.


The Future of WiFi
WiFi is the name coined for a networking standard using the IEEE 802.11 protocol to transmit data wirelessly using an unlicenced, and therefore free, frequency range. Wireless working has become an ideal picture of the digital world of tomorrow. But what will be the influence on industries and governments? How will Society and its perception of technology change? And, finally, what will be happen in the next five years in the area of WiFi?


The Future of GRID computing
Group: grid computing is a form of networking that harnesses unused processing cycles of all computers in a network for solving problems too intensive for any stand-alone machine. What will be driving force for its future development? How would this future perspective influence both commercial & industrial market in the next 10 years?




[edit]7. web resources
The Future of the Global Village in 2020
http://english.mofe.go.kr/index.html
Group: The concept of "Global Village" has been brought forward since 1962. More than 30 years have passed. Will this idea come true in the future 15 years? Could the large amount of changes that recently happened facilitate the steps of the consolidation?


http://english.fss.or.kr/en/englishIndex.jsp


http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200504/19/200504192201483209900090109012.html
The Future of Software Development
Anyone will agree that software development in general is going to change.
But how? And what will be the consequences?


http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200502/25/200502252216561279900090509051.html
The Future of the Internet in China
With the quick technology development and the joining to the WTO, China faces both an opportunity and a challenge in the Internet industry. So what will the development of internet in China be in the coming 10 years?


http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200504/11/200504112139012109900090109012.html


http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200408/09/200408092233127609900090109012.html
The Future of Console Based Games
The gaming industry is changing. A heavy war is going on between the big players to become the market leader. This influences the future of the console based games. This heavy competition speed up changes. But how will this end? Will the concept of console based games remain the same or will this competition bring other alternitives which give the concept of console game another meaning?


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This page has been accessed 7 times. This page was last modified 13:33, 31 May 2005.


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Description:
Description:
  South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. Although present Nor
  South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. Although present Nor
present
present
 
 
[edit]Enablers:
Increasing demand by corporate consumers
Increasing attention of research on the 802.11 standard
Increased support by major industry leaders - e.g. Intel, Apple
Increasing number of e-crimes
Increasing use of Internet
[edit]Inhibitors:
Backward compatibility had to be retained
Hardware manufacturers' products had to be compatible
[edit]Paradigms:
Emerging paradigms associated with the emergence of WPA security:
 
Increases in Wardriving are fueling fears that security vulnerabilties will be exploited and there will be increased opportunity for attacks
Laptops are increasingly being delivered with WiFi as standard, and open to attack without users even realising
Poor knowledge of security techniques and consumer desire to 'roam' between sites (without knowing security settings) is increasing scope for attacks
[edit]Experts:
IEEE - http://www.ieee.org
Intel - http://www.intel.org
[edit]Timing:
Original IEEE 802.11 standard established in 1997 - Used WEP security
By 2001 research had shown major flaws with the WEP standard available
In 2003, the 802.11 consortium expedited the release of 802.11i security - i.e. WPA
In 2004 802.11i was ratified and with it WPA2 was established
[edit]Web Resources:
http://www.ieee802.org/11
http://www.wi-fi.org
http://www.intel.com/personal/do_more/wireless/wifi.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/802.11
Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/The_Improvements_in_Security_of_WiFi_Transmissions"
 
This page has been accessed 8 times. This page was last modified 14:17, 17 Mar 2005.

Revision as of 11:47, 1 June 2005

Note: A good source is also the CIA's conference on the future of North Korea done in 2001. the report is visible here (http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html)


Table of contents [showhide] 1 Driving Forces

1.1 Political 1.2 Economic 1.3 Societal 1.4 Technological 1.5 Environmental


2 Scenarios

1 LIACS Scenarios 2005


[edit]Driving Forces Here we will list Driving Forces that are specific to the process to understand the future of the Korean peninsula in 2015+

Please remember to be specific and indicate movement (whether it is growing or declining). For Example:

BAD - Anti-Americanism
BETTER - Anti-Americanism in Korea
BEST - Increase of Anti-Americanism in Korea



Daniel sighs

A nice lists of driving forces, but the instructions above expect you to develop the Driving Forces not just list them, but develop them as per the instructions in the link above. So does the instructions in the homework section. They comprise 35% of your grade as listed below.


[edit]Political The Sino-U.S. rivalry in the northeast Asia - Group 2 Pax Americana <---please read the instructions above! Nationalism <---please read the instructions above! Increasing influence of US polices on South Korea polices - Group 4 Increasing importance of North Korea situation to South Korea - Group 4 Continuation of Kim Jung Il's attempt to sustain his regime - Group 1 The nature of divided penninsula between North and South Korea - Group 1 Historical experience of Japan's colonization and ambition - Group 1 Creation of Korea-US tight relationship since Korean war - Group 1 Increase in notion of pax-Americana - america's sole pre-eminence - Group 1 [edit]Economic Globalization <-----please read the instructions above, there is already a Driving Force on globalisation which is very good Increasing dependency of South Korean economy on exporting - Group 4

  • More opening of South Korean economy to the world - Group 4

Europe and Japan began to compete effectively with the U.S - Group 2 As North Korea meets the limits of economice development they try to accept inter-korean Economic Cooperation - Group 2 The prolonged economic slump has discouraged people from moving to other residential areas - Group 2 increasing globalization of Korean economy- Group 1 no source of oil in korea- Group 1


2008 Beijing Olympics in China - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces! FTA - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces! Bipolarity in wealth - Group 3 <-----please read the instructions above Economic Alignment between South and North Korea - Group 3 [edit]Societal Increasing Women's rights in South Korea - Group 4 South Korea society is moving toward a western style demographic population - Group 4 Seoul's becoming of mega city - Group 1 Decrease in Confucian value in South Korea - Group 1 [edit]Technological South Korea's tech competence is on the high skilled HR and high applied science - Group 4 South Korea's tech competence is on the IT & digital industry - Group 4 increase in availability of cheap broadband internet in ROK - Group 1 Stem cell technology - Group 3 [edit]Environmental Materialism<---please read the instructions above! Increasing relation between S.K economey and environmental issue - Group 4 shortage of land in korean penninsula - Group 1 Water Shortage - Group 3<---please read the instructions above! Energy Crisis - Group 3 <---please read the instructions above! [edit]Scenarios Here is our scenarios.






As a reference you can look at example uncertainties,research questions, driving forces and scenarios developed on a WIKI:

[edit]LIACS Scenarios 2005 Leiden University ICT in Business Post Graduate course scenarios.

The Future of WiFi WiFi is the name coined for a networking standard using the IEEE 802.11 protocol to transmit data wirelessly using an unlicenced, and therefore free, frequency range. Wireless working has become an ideal picture of the digital world of tomorrow. But what will be the influence on industries and governments? How will Society and its perception of technology change? And, finally, what will be happen in the next five years in the area of WiFi?

The Future of GRID computing Group: grid computing is a form of networking that harnesses unused processing cycles of all computers in a network for solving problems too intensive for any stand-alone machine. What will be driving force for its future development? How would this future perspective influence both commercial & industrial market in the next 10 years?


The Future of the Global Village in 2020 Group: The concept of "Global Village" has been brought forward since 1962. More than 30 years have passed. Will this idea come true in the future 15 years? Could the large amount of changes that recently happened facilitate the steps of the consolidation?


The Future of Software Development Anyone will agree that software development in general is going to change. But how? And what will be the consequences?

The Future of the Internet in China With the quick technology development and the joining to the WTO, China faces both an opportunity and a challenge in the Internet industry. So what will the development of internet in China be in the coming 10 years?


The Future of Console Based Games The gaming industry is changing. A heavy war is going on between the big players to become the market leader. This influences the future of the console based games. This heavy competition speed up changes. But how will this end? Will the concept of console based games remain the same or will this competition bring other alternitives which give the concept of console game another meaning?


Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Future_of_the_Korean_Peninsula_in_2015"

This page has been accessed 166 times. This page was last modified 10:40, 1 Jun 2005.



Description:

South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. Although present Nor

present