Difference between revisions of "Increasing influence of US polices on South Korea polices"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
 
(20 intermediate revisions by the same user not shown)
Line 1: Line 1:
Note: A good source is also the CIA's conference on the future of North Korea done in 2001. the report is visible here (http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html)
==1. Description: ==


South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. And the new US foreign-policy emphasis delineated in President George W Bush's inauguration speech and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's confirmation hearings concurrently have drawn praise and alarm by Korean politicians and pundits already concerned by the administration's perceived unilateralist tendencies. Whether South Korea agree or not agree the influence of US polices will increased because North Korea Nuke problem. US will pursue a more activist policy to undermine or unseat oppressive egimes.


== 2. Enablers ==
- North Korea Nuke problem


Table of contents [showhide]  
- Neocon's influence to Bush administration
1 Driving Forces
   
 
- Importance of South Korea and it's economic power in North Asia
1.1 Political
1.2 Economic
1.3 Societal
1.4 Technological
1.5 Environmental
 
 
2 Scenarios


1 LIACS Scenarios 2005
- After 9.11 effect


== 3. Inhibitors ==
   
   
[edit]Driving Forces
- Actually there is no inhibitors what could stop US influence
Here we will list Driving Forces that are specific to the process to understand the future of the Korean peninsula in 2015+
 
Please remember to be specific and indicate movement (whether it is growing or declining). For Example:
 
BAD - Anti-Americanism
BETTER - Anti-Americanism in Korea
BEST - Increase of Anti-Americanism in Korea
 
 
 
 
Daniel sighs
A nice lists of driving forces, but the instructions above expect you to develop the Driving Forces not just list them, but develop them as per the instructions in the link above. So does the instructions in the homework section. They comprise 35% of your grade as listed below.
 
 
[edit]Political
The Sino-U.S. rivalry in the northeast Asia - Group 2
Pax Americana <---please read the instructions above!
Nationalism <---please read the instructions above!
Increasing influence of US polices on South Korea polices - Group 4
Increasing importance of North Korea situation to South Korea - Group 4
Continuation of Kim Jung Il's attempt to sustain his regime - Group 1
The nature of divided penninsula between North and South Korea - Group 1
Historical experience of Japan's colonization and ambition - Group 1
Creation of Korea-US tight relationship since Korean war - Group 1
Increase in notion of pax-Americana - america's sole pre-eminence - Group 1
[edit]Economic
Globalization <-----please read the instructions above, there is already a Driving Force on globalisation which is very good
Increasing dependency of South Korean economy on exporting - Group 4
* More opening of South Korean economy to the world - Group 4
 
Europe and Japan began to compete effectively with the U.S - Group 2
As North Korea meets the limits of economice development they try to accept inter-korean Economic Cooperation - Group 2
The prolonged economic slump has discouraged people from moving to other residential areas - Group 2
increasing globalization of Korean economy- Group 1
no source of oil in korea- Group 1
 
 
 
2008 Beijing Olympics in China - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces!
FTA - Group 3 <-----these are events not driving forces!
Bipolarity in wealth - Group 3 <-----please read the instructions above
Economic Alignment between South and North Korea - Group 3
[edit]Societal
Increasing Women's rights in South Korea - Group 4
South Korea society is moving toward a western style demographic population - Group 4
Seoul's becoming of mega city - Group 1
Decrease in Confucian value in South Korea - Group 1
[edit]Technological
South Korea's tech competence is on the high skilled HR and high applied science - Group 4
South Korea's tech competence is on the IT & digital industry - Group 4
increase in availability of cheap broadband internet in ROK - Group 1
Stem cell technology - Group 3
[edit]Environmental
Materialism<---please read the instructions above!
Increasing relation between S.K economey and environmental issue - Group 4
shortage of land in korean penninsula - Group 1
Water Shortage - Group 3<---please read the instructions above!
Energy Crisis - Group 3 <---please read the instructions above!
[edit]Scenarios
Here is our scenarios.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
As a reference you can look at example uncertainties,research questions, driving forces and scenarios developed on a WIKI:
 
[edit]LIACS Scenarios 2005
Leiden University ICT in Business Post Graduate course scenarios.
 
The Future of WiFi
WiFi is the name coined for a networking standard using the IEEE 802.11 protocol to transmit data wirelessly using an unlicenced, and therefore free, frequency range. Wireless working has become an ideal picture of the digital world of tomorrow. But what will be the influence on industries and governments? How will Society and its perception of technology change? And, finally, what will be happen in the next five years in the area of WiFi?
 
The Future of GRID computing
Group: grid computing is a form of networking that harnesses unused processing cycles of all computers in a network for solving problems too intensive for any stand-alone machine. What will be driving force for its future development? How would this future perspective influence both commercial & industrial market in the next 10 years?
 
 
The Future of the Global Village in 2020
Group: The concept of "Global Village" has been brought forward since 1962. More than 30 years have passed. Will this idea come true in the future 15 years? Could the large amount of changes that recently happened facilitate the steps of the consolidation?
 
 
The Future of Software Development
Anyone will agree that software development in general is going to change.
But how? And what will be the consequences?
 
The Future of the Internet in China
With the quick technology development and the joining to the WTO, China faces both an opportunity and a challenge in the Internet industry. So what will the development of internet in China be in the coming 10 years?
 


The Future of Console Based Games
- Anti-US movement in South Korea?
The gaming industry is changing. A heavy war is going on between the big players to become the market leader. This influences the future of the console based games. This heavy competition speed up changes. But how will this end? Will the concept of console based games remain the same or will this competition bring other alternitives which give the concept of console game another meaning?  


- Red US economey?


== 4. Paradigms ==
After 9.11 effects Neocon's foreign police got power in Bush administration and the result plus ROK Nuke problem changed US foreign police to South Korea. More strong and fast engagement of US will lead South Korea's political situation.


Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Future_of_the_Korean_Peninsula_in_2015"
== 5. Experts ==
  South Korea Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Ban Ki-moon
  Woo Seong-ji, professor at Seoul’s Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security
  American expert Kenneth Quinones


This page has been accessed 166 times. This page was last modified 10:40, 1 Jun 2005.  
== 6. Timing ==
N/A


== 7. Web resources ==
http://www.whitehouse.gov


http://english.president.go.kr/warp/app/home/en_home?_sso_id_=e894588fb0fd9ded0440da28d44807e6


http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html


Description:
http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/bg1853.cfm
South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. Although present Nor
present

Latest revision as of 03:22, 2 June 2005

1. Description:

South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. And the new US foreign-policy emphasis delineated in President George W Bush's inauguration speech and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's confirmation hearings concurrently have drawn praise and alarm by Korean politicians and pundits already concerned by the administration's perceived unilateralist tendencies. Whether South Korea agree or not agree the influence of US polices will increased because North Korea Nuke problem. US will pursue a more activist policy to undermine or unseat oppressive egimes.

2. Enablers

- North Korea Nuke problem

- Neocon's influence to Bush administration

- Importance of South Korea and it's economic power in North Asia

- After 9.11 effect

3. Inhibitors

- Actually there is no inhibitors what could stop US influence

- Anti-US movement in South Korea?

- Red US economey?

4. Paradigms

After 9.11 effects Neocon's foreign police got power in Bush administration and the result plus ROK Nuke problem changed US foreign police to South Korea. More strong and fast engagement of US will lead South Korea's political situation.

5. Experts

 South Korea Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Ban Ki-moon
 Woo Seong-ji, professor at Seoul’s Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security 
 American expert Kenneth Quinones

6. Timing

N/A

7. Web resources

http://www.whitehouse.gov

http://english.president.go.kr/warp/app/home/en_home?_sso_id_=e894588fb0fd9ded0440da28d44807e6

http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html

http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/bg1853.cfm

Retrieved from "https://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Increasing_influence_of_US_polices_on_South_Korea_polices&oldid=13515"