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| | ==1. Description: == |
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| | South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. And the new US foreign-policy emphasis delineated in President George W Bush's inauguration speech and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's confirmation hearings concurrently have drawn praise and alarm by Korean politicians and pundits already concerned by the administration's perceived unilateralist tendencies. Whether South Korea agree or not agree the influence of US polices will increased because North Korea Nuke problem. US will pursue a more activist policy to undermine or unseat oppressive egimes. |
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| | == 2. Enablers == |
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| | - North Korea Nuke problem |
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| | | - Neocon's influence to Bush administration |
| Table of contents [showhide]
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| 1 Driving Forces
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| 1.1 Political
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| 1.2 Economic
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| 1.3 Societal
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| 1.4 Technological
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| 1.5 Environmental
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| 2 Scenarios
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| 1 LIACS Scenarios 2005
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| | - Importance of South Korea and it's economic power in North Asia |
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| Table of contents [showhide]
| | - After 9.11 effect |
| 1 1. Description
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| 2 2. Enablers
| | == 3. Inhibitors == |
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| 3 3. Inhibitors
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| 4 4. Paradigms
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| 5 5. Experts
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| 6 6. Timing
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| 7 7. web resources
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| [edit]1. Description
| | - Actually there is no inhibitors what could stop US influence |
| With opening financial capital market as a starting point, Korea economy has been undergoing globalization which in turn brings out many ramifications in other fields.
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| [edit]2. Enablers
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| - globalization as a mega trend in the world | |
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| - growing economic interdependence with other countries
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| - high contribution of export in Korean economic development
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| [edit]3. Inhibitors
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| -resistance of domestic capital
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| -some ardent nationalists and anti-enterprise sentiment in current administration
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| [edit]4. Paradigms
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| globalization is truly a mega trend, engulfing the whole globe. There are not many countries that can resist this powerful flow. Korean economy is not exception as well. in fact, globalization of Korean economy becomes inevitable owing to the increasing interdependency with other nations. Making block economy based on region is a stepping stone towards real globalization and in that respect, by 2015 FTA among Asian countries (such as Korea, Japan, and China) is provable. FDI and other forms of mingling international capital in Korean economy will be also likely.
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| [edit]5. Experts
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| n/a
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| [edit]6. Timing
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| 1995 Word Trade Oranization
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| 1997 IMF crisis related to East-south Asian economic crisis in late 1990s
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| [edit]7. web resources
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| http://english.mofe.go.kr/index.html
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| http://english.fss.or.kr/en/englishIndex.jsp
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| http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200504/19/200504192201483209900090109012.html
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| http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200502/25/200502252216561279900090509051.html
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| http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200504/11/200504112139012109900090109012.html
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| http://joongangdaily.joins.com/200408/09/200408092233127609900090109012.html
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| Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Increasing_globalization_of_Korean_economy-_Group_1"
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| This page has been accessed 7 times. This page was last modified 13:33, 31 May 2005.
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| | - Anti-US movement in South Korea? |
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| | - Red US economey? |
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| | == 4. Paradigms == |
| | After 9.11 effects Neocon's foreign police got power in Bush administration and the result plus ROK Nuke problem changed US foreign police to South Korea. More strong and fast engagement of US will lead South Korea's political situation. |
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| | == 5. Experts == |
| | South Korea Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Ban Ki-moon |
| | Woo Seong-ji, professor at Seoul’s Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security |
| | American expert Kenneth Quinones |
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| Description:
| | == 6. Timing == |
| South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. Although present Nor
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| present
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| | == 7. Web resources == |
| | http://www.whitehouse.gov |
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| [edit]Enablers:
| | http://english.president.go.kr/warp/app/home/en_home?_sso_id_=e894588fb0fd9ded0440da28d44807e6 |
| Increasing demand by corporate consumers
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| Increasing attention of research on the 802.11 standard
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| Increased support by major industry leaders - e.g. Intel, Apple
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| Increasing number of e-crimes
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| Increasing use of Internet
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| [edit]Inhibitors:
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| Backward compatibility had to be retained
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| Hardware manufacturers' products had to be compatible
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| [edit]Paradigms:
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| Emerging paradigms associated with the emergence of WPA security:
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| Increases in Wardriving are fueling fears that security vulnerabilties will be exploited and there will be increased opportunity for attacks
| | http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html |
| Laptops are increasingly being delivered with WiFi as standard, and open to attack without users even realising
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| Poor knowledge of security techniques and consumer desire to 'roam' between sites (without knowing security settings) is increasing scope for attacks
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| [edit]Experts:
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| IEEE - http://www.ieee.org
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| Intel - http://www.intel.org
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| [edit]Timing:
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| Original IEEE 802.11 standard established in 1997 - Used WEP security
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| By 2001 research had shown major flaws with the WEP standard available
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| In 2003, the 802.11 consortium expedited the release of 802.11i security - i.e. WPA
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| In 2004 802.11i was ratified and with it WPA2 was established
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| [edit]Web Resources:
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| http://www.ieee802.org/11
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| http://www.wi-fi.org | |
| http://www.intel.com/personal/do_more/wireless/wifi.htm
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| http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/802.11
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| Retrieved from "http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/The_Improvements_in_Security_of_WiFi_Transmissions"
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| This page has been accessed 8 times. This page was last modified 14:17, 17 Mar 2005.
| | http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/bg1853.cfm |
1. Description:
South Korea maintains close military, economic, and diplomatic relations with the United States, although at times those relations are strained by domestic opposition to the U.S. military presence on the peninsula. And the new US foreign-policy emphasis delineated in President George W Bush's inauguration speech and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's confirmation hearings concurrently have drawn praise and alarm by Korean politicians and pundits already concerned by the administration's perceived unilateralist tendencies. Whether South Korea agree or not agree the influence of US polices will increased because North Korea Nuke problem. US will pursue a more activist policy to undermine or unseat oppressive egimes.
2. Enablers
- North Korea Nuke problem
- Neocon's influence to Bush administration
- Importance of South Korea and it's economic power in North Asia
- After 9.11 effect
3. Inhibitors
- Actually there is no inhibitors what could stop US influence
- Anti-US movement in South Korea?
- Red US economey?
4. Paradigms
After 9.11 effects Neocon's foreign police got power in Bush administration and the result plus ROK Nuke problem changed US foreign police to South Korea. More strong and fast engagement of US will lead South Korea's political situation.
5. Experts
South Korea Foreign Affairs and Trade Minister Ban Ki-moon
Woo Seong-ji, professor at Seoul’s Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security
American expert Kenneth Quinones
6. Timing
N/A
7. Web resources
http://www.whitehouse.gov
http://english.president.go.kr/warp/app/home/en_home?_sso_id_=e894588fb0fd9ded0440da28d44807e6
http://www.cia.gov/nic/confreports_northkorea.html
http://www.heritage.org/Research/AsiaandthePacific/bg1853.cfm