Group 4: The Scenario Logic

More to come

INTRODUCTION

- Why is scenario building important in our society?

- What is the primary purpose of the project? (the focal question)

- Who is working on the project?

- Who will be using it?

- Who is the sponsor?

TIMELINE OF SCENARIO BUILDING PROCESS

- Storytelling

- System Thinking and system diagrams

- Research (McLuhan theories)

- Driving forces

- Scenario Snapshots

- Choosing (voting) the four main scenarios

DEVELOPING THE SCENARIO STRUCTURE

- The inductive Approach

- Key uncertainties

FOLLOWUP: UNDERSTANDING THE SIGNS

- Detecting signals post scenario building

- How is techology evolution going to change the world? Which of our scenarios are the best outcomes considering different paths of technology evolution?