Future of the Korean Peninsula in 2015
To start our scenario process we shall look at the scope of the uncertainties, define our research questions and answer them for our next class on 26 May.
- aSSIST 2005 Group 1 Uncertainties
- aSSIST 2005 Group 2 Uncertainties
- aSSIST 2005 Group 3 Uncertainties
- aSSIST 2005 Group 4 Uncertainties
Note: A good source is also the CIA's conference on the future of North Korea done in 2001. the report is visible here
Here we will list Driving Forces that are specific to the process to understand the future of the Korean peninsula in 2015+
Please remember to be specific and indicate movement (whether it is growing or declining). For Example:
BAD - Anti-Americanism BETTER - Anti-Americanism in Korea BEST - Increase of Anti-Americanism in Korea
Please develop the Driving Forces not just list them. They comprise 35% of your grade as listed below.
- The Korean War II due to Nuke issue - Group 2
- Beijing Olympic - Turning point for China to become a super power country - Increasing influence on Korea peninsula - Group 3
- South Korea Sunshine policy - Group 3
- Disaccord between China and US - Group 3
- Devastated economics of North Korea - Group 3
- Instable Dictator Kim Jung Il - Group 3
- The rise of Chinese economy - Group 2
- Increasing Women's rights in South Korea - Group 4
Here is our scenarios.
Korea Depression - Group 2
6 Party talk was successful. - Group 4
New beginning- Group 3
As a reference you can look at example uncertainties,research questions, driving forces and scenarios developed on a WIKI:
LIACS Scenarios 2005
Leiden University ICT in Business Post Graduate course scenarios.
The Future of WiFi
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The Future of GRID computing
Group: grid computing is a form of networking that harnesses unused processing cycles of all computers in a network for solving problems too intensive for any stand-alone machine. What will be driving force for its future development? How would this future perspective influence both commercial & industrial market in the next 10 years?
The Future of the Global Village in 2020
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The Future of Software Development
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But how? And what will be the consequences?
The Future of the Internet in China
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The Future of Console Based Games
The gaming industry is changing. A heavy war is going on between the big players to become the market leader. This influences the future of the console based games. This heavy competition speed up changes. But how will this end? Will the concept of console based games remain the same or will this competition bring other alternitives which give the concept of console game another meaning?