Difference between revisions of "Future of Consulting 2020"

From ScenarioThinking
Jump to navigation Jump to search
 
(41 intermediate revisions by 5 users not shown)
Line 7: Line 7:
Lidia Sholkova <br>
Lidia Sholkova <br>
   
   
== Background ==
= Background =
 
Problem owner: Joost Preyde (IT):<br>
 
Quote: "All progress depends on the unreasonable man. <br>


Joost Preyde (IT):<br>
quote: "All progress depends on the unreasonable man. <br>
Education:<br>
Education:<br>
1981-1985 Flight Engineering; 1985-1987 MBA<br>
1981-1985 Flight Engineering <br>
 
1985-1987 MBA <br>
 
Work:<br>  
 






   
   
Reading book now: Mojo: How to Get It, How to Keep It, How to Get It Back if You Lose It (so we can talk/ask him the most strange questions)
Reading book now: Mojo: How to Get It, How to Keep It, How to Get It Back if You Lose It
==Focal Issue==
How will Consulting industry evolve in next 10 years?


= Interview Questions =


[[Future of Consulting 2020 - Interview Questions & Answers]]


Also: check out David Maister: http://davidmaister.com/articles/24/ for deep perspective on the consulting world.
= Driving Forces =


history of consulting: http://www.careers-in-business.com/consulting/hist.htm
==Economic Driving Forces==
*[[Global Economic Growth]]  (IT) <br>
*[[Complex Business Environment]] (PD)  <br>
*[[The Role of the Internal Consultant]] (CR) <br>


==Systems Diagram==
==Societal Driving Forces==
*[[Innovation]] (KL) <br>
*[[Rising need to co-create]] (PD) <br>
*[[Rising Intellectual Power of Emerging Markets]] (LS) <br>


[[Future of Consulting 2020 First Draft]]
==Technological Driving Forces==
*[[Development of ICT, web 2.0]] (IT) <br>
*[[Globalization of companies]] (KL) <br>
*[[Openness of Information]] (CR) <br>
*[[Automation of processes]] (LS) <br>


[[Future of Consulting 2020 Final Diagram]]
= Research Questions =


== Interview Questions ==
[[Future of Consulting 2020 - Research Questions]]


[[Interview Question]]
=Scenarios=


== Driving Forces ==
==Systems Diagram==


1. [[Global Economic Growth]] (IT)
[[Future of Consulting 2020 First Draft]]


2. [[Development of ICT, web 2.0]] (IT)
[[Future of consulting 2020 - Final Diagram]]


3. [[Demographics - increasing aging population]] (LS)
== Short Scenarios Description ==
 
4. [[Globalization of companies]] (KL)
 
5. [[The growing trend and acceptance of outsourcing]] (CR) <br>
 
6. [[Importance of Sustainable Development]] (KL)
 
7. [[Increasing gap in Intellectual Capital base of clients]] (PD)  <br>
 
8. [[Lack of talent and capacity issues of many firms]] (CR) <br>
9. [[Move towards specialized client-consultant relationship]] (PD) <br>
 
10. [[Rising Intellectual Power of Emerging Markets]] (LS)
 
11. [[The Role of University Research]] (CR) <br>
 
12. [[Openness of Information]] (CR) <br>
 
13. [[The Role of the Internal Consultant]] (CR) <br>
 
14. [[Demographics - changing needs and demands of new generation at workplace]] (LS)
 
Younger population not only has increased mobility and flexibility but also has much more choice. This creates problems for companies to retain the  top talent. This paeticularly is imporant for consulting industry as it begins to move towards long-term relationships with clients, rather than a one off deal. <br>
 
== Research Questions ==
 
[[Future of Consulting 2020 - Research Questions]]
 
== Useful Resources ==


Fiona Czerniawska and others on future of consulting:
'''Tradition Remains'''<br>
''Current consulting model remains the same''<br>


http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/
-Fear and validation remain an underlying motivation for hiring consultants<br>
 
-Relationships and trust continue to drive the consultancy model<br>
 
-Consultant-client relationship shifts to co-creation for innovation<br>
== Short Scenarios Description ==


'''Inside Out Innovation'''<br>
'''Inside Out Innovation'''<br>
Innovation from within Organizations<br>
''Innovation from within organizations''<br>


- Creation of center of Excellence + Innovation center <br>
- Creation of center of excellence + innovation center <br>
- Growing cycle dimishes external consulting <br>
- Growing cycle dimishes external consulting <br>
- Attracting Top Talent to the organizations <br>
- Attracting top talent to the organizations <br>


'''Collective Good Consulting'''<br>
'''Collective Good Consulting'''<br>
Open Source & Free Consulting <br>
''Open source & free consulting'' <br>


- All information in public domain <br>
- All information in public domain <br>
- On-line collaboration based on Non-Fee <br>
- On-line collaboration based on non-fee <br>
- Reward through "virtual currency" - promotes free knowledge base <br>
- Reward through "virtual currency" - promotes free knowledge base <br>


'''A Leap Ahead'''<br>
'''A Leap Ahead'''<br>
Move towards E-consulting & Automation <br>
''Move towards e-consulting & automation'' <br>


- Commoditization of specific consulting services <br>
- Commoditization of specific consulting services <br>
Line 103: Line 92:


==  Future of Consulting Scenario Tree ==
==  Future of Consulting Scenario Tree ==
[[File:future of consulting model.jpg]]
[[Future of Consulting Scenario Tree]]


== Timelines ==
== Timelines ==
[[Tradition Remains Timeline]] <br>
[[Inside out Innovation Timeline]]<br>
[[Inside out Innovation Timeline]]<br>
[[Collective Good Consulting Timeline]] <br>
[[Collective Good Consulting Timeline]] <br>
[[A Leap Forward Timeline]] <br>
[[A Leap Forward Timeline]] <br>
[[Tradition Remains Timeline]] <br>


== Scenario Stories ==  
== Scenario Stories ==
 
[[Traditions Remains]]<br>


[[Inside Out Innovation]] <br>
[[Inside Out Innovation]] <br>
Line 119: Line 114:
[[A Leap Ahead]]<br>
[[A Leap Ahead]]<br>


[[Traditions Remains]]<br>
= Presentation feedback =
 
== Presentation feedback ==


Like that you ask the audience questions <br>
Like that you ask the audience questions <br>
Line 133: Line 126:
Joost was discussing some interesting strategic responses to the challenges that the scenarios raise <br>
Joost was discussing some interesting strategic responses to the challenges that the scenarios raise <br>


== Main Learning Points ==
= Main Learning Points =
- Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting <br>
- Investigating Fundamental Business Model of Consulting <br>
- General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom <br>
- General Trends of No Value, i.e. tracing the root of the symptom <br>
- Move away from obvious Assumptions <br>
- Move away from obvious Assumptions <br>


= Useful Resources =
Fiona Czerniawska and others on future of consulting:
http://davidmaister.com/articles/24/ - David Maister - a deep perspective on the consulting world<br>
http://www.careers-in-business.com/consulting/hist.htm - History of consulting <br>
http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/- Features ideas and tools from leading thinkers, consultants, writers, and marketers<br>
http://www.scottberkun.com/blog/2008/thoughts-on-googles-20-time/ - A look at internal innovation programmes <br>
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=soYKFWqVVzg - Interesting speech by Marissa Mayer about Google's innovation<br>
http://enrd.ec.europa.eu/app_templates/filedownload.cfm?id=B7288CC2-AAAF-2E2A-742A-040F3A77A56B Pros and cons of internal and external consultants<br>
http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1917002,00.html Time article about the history of wikipedia<br>
http://www.zdnet.com/news/open-source-ibms-deadly-weapon/296366 Open source: IBM's deadly weapon<br>
http://www.internetnews.com/dev-news/article.php/3499276 IBM: Open Source is More Than Just Linux<br>
http://www.javaworld.com/community/node/3104 interesting article about starting a business with open source <br>


== Numbers that Matter Presentation ==
= Numbers that Matter Presentation =
[[Numbers that matter]]
[[Deforestation vs adult&drug tax]]

Latest revision as of 09:42, 9 September 2010