Continuation of Kim Jung Il's attempt to sustain his regime
1.Description:
- Kim Jungil wants to sustain his regime in North Korea. And so, he used any kinds of ways and means even pressure by using Nuclear power.
2.Enablers:
- Many countries want to solve a problem as a peaceful means - South Korea’s attitude
3.Inhibitors:
- U.S. (especially Bush) wants to solve North Korea problem as soon as possible. - U.S. could use military forces. - Probability of Internal revolt - Extremely difficult situation in the economy
4.Paradigms:
- Kim, Jungil had a diverse difficulty. Without U.S., North Korea could not get out of this severe situation. And so, he wants to have a good relationship North Korea and U.S. However, he does not have enough cards to solve those kinds of problems. And so, he chose the last measure. That is a nuclear weapon. Through nuclear weapon card, Kim Jungil is going to sustain his regime. - == 5.Experts: == - N/A
6.Timing:
- 1950 The Korean War - 1994 Kim, ilsung died - 2003 Six party talk
7.Web Resources:
- http://times.hankooki.com/lpage/200304/kt2003042417245210160.htm - http://www.nwc.navy.mil/apsg/papers/Pollack%20NORTH%20KOREA%20PAPER.htm - http://www.almc.army.mil/alog/issues/JanFeb00/MS503.htm - http://www.american.edu/TED/hpages/human/NKorea41.htm - http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/n_korea/relation.html