A Lost Purpose

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Revision as of 06:00, 26 August 2010 by Lfan (talk | contribs) (→‎2014-2018)
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Overview

Although the main parties joining the climate change negotitation meetings are the representatives from each countires, other driving forces, such as Catastrophes - Acts of God and Dynamics of Public Support, also play important roles in this scenario.

2010-2013

In 2010 negotiations,we might see the situation that there is no big agreement made but the balance of power to make agreements shifts to few powerful countries - EU, US, and China. In the same period, huge public and media preasure drive countries to take minor steps of climate change policies rather than major decisions to commit the goal of resonable GHG emission reduction amount.

Accroding to IPCC report issued in 2013, the global climate will continue increasing since there is only EU and other countries with minor negotiation power taking the responsibility to reduce GHG emission according to the goals set in the COP16 and CMP6 conferences from 29 November-10 December 2010 in Cancun, Mexico. However, during and after COP16& CMP6 conferences, the numbers of catastrophes happened will increase dramatically, and the hugh amouts of economical losses in these catastrophes alarm most of the public, NGO, and media in the world. This louder and louder voice forces some major developed countires to sign inefficient GHG emission reduction agreements. For example, US president election will be held in 2010, and Barack Obama will ask US congress to approve several minor climate change policies before COP16& CMP6 conferences in order to compromise public, NGO, and media; EU might still provide funds to support developing countries in order to puch these developing countries to reduce 20% GHG emission in each year; Several serious catastrophes happened in China might let China to commit a higher GHG emission limit.

2014-2018

2019-2020

LCA was reworked in a shortest time and put with a realistic figures for the countries discussion. It took almost 2 years of regular conferences,meetings and debates to make countries agree on conditions. Process of moving from "paying out sins" LCA to the "saving the planet" LCA was not as long as for agreeing on the first one, but was not less painful as well. However, after India and China jumped on the boat it was finished.