A Lost Purpose

Overview

Although the main parties joining the climate change negotitation meetings are the representatives from each countires, other driving forces, such as Catastrophes - Acts of God and Dynamics of Public Support, also play important roles in this scenario.

2010-2013

In 2010 negotiations,we might see the situation that there is no big agreement made but the balance of power to make agreements shifts to few powerful countries - EU, US, and China. In the same period, huge public and media preasure drive countries to take minor steps of climate change policies rather than major decisions to commit the goal of resonable GHG emission reduction amount.

Accroding to IPCC report issued in 2013, the global climate will continue increasing since there is only EU and other countries with minor negotiation power taking the responsibility to reduce GHG emission according to the goals set in the COP16 and CMP6 conferences from 29 November-10 December 2010 in Cancun, Mexico. However, during and after COP16& CMP6 conferences, the numbers of catastrophes happened will increase dramatically, and the hugh amouts of economical losses in these catastrophes alarm most of the public, NGO, and media in the world. This louder and louder voice forces some major developed countires to sign inefficient GHG emission reduction agreements. For example, US president election will be held in 2010, and Barack Obama will ask US congress to approve several minor climate change policies before COP16& CMP6 conferences in order to compromise public, NGO, and media; EU might still provide funds to support developing countries in order to puch these developing countries to reduce 20% GHG emission in each year; Several serious catastrophes happened in China might let China to commit a higher GHG emission limit.

2014-2018

More and more corporations world-wide recent years started moving towards AAA Green Rankings being put under the pressure of NGOs from one side and their "as green as you can be" business partners from the other. Leading countries governments being pushed by public to seal the deal met this corporations behavior as a relief and came back to the LCA discussion. In 2014 a number of countries ratified LCA, which was consolidated recently with some other Climate Change proposals, such as the REDD agreement (the last one became as part of the main document by demand from Brazil and some other countries, who faced huge forest fires in Amazonian earlier this year). Some were upset to realize that it was mainly the same countries who already ratified Kyoto Protocol before. Others were happy to see United States joining the agreement. But third started pointing to the fact that according to IPCC reports this document was already out of date even before being signed and has to be remade again to bring any real benefit.
Being put into the changing climate conditions some countries as US or Japan followed Russia's example and implemented new adaption plans in their Climate Change policies. While keeping some distance from other negotiators even after coming back to the table, China faced two consecutive years of droughts, which lead to the food supply crisis and even hunger in the Northern regions of the country. Some Chinese companies already showed loses recent years because of the issues with "green" business partners and additional duties imposed for Chinese imports (despite the China's protest to World Trade Organisation) by some countries in both Americas and in Europe. Hunger became a final chord that put country into the recession.
Already possessing green technologies and losing acceleration in growth rates, China comes to the plateau in amount of emissions. In 2018 China ratified LCA and therefore released itself from export duties and opened for it's "green energy" technologies new markets.
In the middle of 2018 IPCC puts new 6th report on a table, saying that "sorry guys, but it didn't work". Projections showed that polar and Himalayan ices continue melting and projected temperature increase is still far above 2 degrees by 2050.

2019-2020

LCA was reworked in a shortest time and put with a realistic figures for the countries discussion. It took almost 2 years of regular conferences,meetings and debates to make countries agree on conditions. Process of moving from "paying out sins" LCA to the "saving the planet" LCA was not as long as for agreeing on the first one, but was not less painful as well. However, after India and China jumped on the boat it was finished.