Group 4: The Scenario Logic
More to come
INTRODUCTION
- Why is scenario building important in our society?
- What is the primary purpose of the project? (the focal question)
- Who is working on the project?
- Who will be using it?
- Who is the sponsor?
TIMELINE OF SCENARIO BUILDING PROCESS
- Storytelling
- System Thinking and system diagrams
- Research (McLuhan theories)
- Driving forces
- Scenario Snapshots
- Choosing (voting) the four main scenarios
DEVELOPING THE SCENARIO STRUCTURE
- The inductive Approach
- Key uncertainties
FOLLOWUP: UNDERSTANDING THE SIGNS
- Detecting signals post scenario building
- How is techology evolution going to change the world? Which of our scenarios are the best outcomes considering different paths of technology evolution?