https://www.scenariothinking.org/api.php?action=feedcontributions&user=Jan&feedformat=atomScenarioThinking - User contributions [en]2024-03-28T15:36:14ZUser contributionsMediaWiki 1.37.0https://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_were_information_warfare_activites%3F&diff=25143What were information warfare activites?2008-07-18T13:57:27Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table border="0" class="frontTable"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" colspan="5"><table width="100%" border="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" style="vertical-align:bottom"><br/><font size="-1">Welcome</font><font size="-1"> to '''ScenarioThinking.org''', the world's No.1 open community on scenario thinking and scenario planning where you can publish scenarios, reflect on the planning processes and share online resources about scenario planning in a democratic and inclusive manner. ScenarioThinking.org, based on the [http://www.mediawiki.org mediawiki] technology, is currently sponsored by [http://www.danielerasmus.com Daniel Erasmus] and the [http://www.dtn.net DTN], which since 1996 has been active in the field of scenario planning and publishing scenarios online to grow the public discourse in the scenario thinking space. The philosophy is that we all benefit by sharing our scenario planning knowledge about this unique 30-year old process.<br><br />
</font><br></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="50">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="75" align="center">[[image:Scenario10.png | Agenda]]<div align="center">[[Agenda]]</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Discover</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="20px">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Gather</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario1.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|What are scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share your thoughts on scenario thinking and find out what it is.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario3.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Online resources|Online resources]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share and access the best Internet resources on scenario thinking and related subjects.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario2.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|Why scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">From Scenarios to Strategy explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario4.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Driving Forces]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A database that offers us quick insight into important developments in almost every aspect of society...</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD style1"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Craft</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Utilize</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario5.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Student scenarios|Student scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A large database of scenarios by students with business study background...</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario7.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Innovations|Innovation]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Here we exchange new ideas and share our thoughts about the way innovative scenario planning can benefit us.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario6.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Expert scenarios|Expert scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">This section conatains scenarios developed by companies for their strategic needs.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario8.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[From Scenarios to Strategy|Strategy]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario9.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td colspan="4"><span class="subtitle">[[Contributors|Contributors]]</span><p class="front">We have dedicated that section to the people that decided to share their knowledge on scenario thinking and thus enrich the global community.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_were_information_warfare_activites%3F&diff=25142What were information warfare activites?2008-07-18T13:56:49Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table border="0" class="frontTable"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" colspan="5"><table width="100%" border="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" style="vertical-align:bottom"><br/><font size="-1">Welcome</font><font size="-1"> to '''ScenarioThinking.org''', the world's No.1 open community on scenario thinking and scenario planning where you can publish scenarios, reflect on the planning processes and share online resources about scenario planning in a democratic and inclusive manner. ScenarioThinking.org, based on the [http://www.mediawiki.org mediawiki] technology, is currently sponsored by [http://www.danielerasmus.com Daniel Erasmus] and the [http://www.dtn.net DTN], which since 1996 has been active in the field of scenario planning and publishing scenarios online to grow the public discourse in the scenario thinking space. The philosophy is that we all benefit by sharing our scenario planning knowledge about this unique 30-year old process.<br><br />
</font><br></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="50">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="75" align="center">[[image:Scenario10.png | Agenda]]<div align="center">[[Agenda]]</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Discover</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="20px">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Gather</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario1.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|What are scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share your thoughts on scenario thinking and find out what it is.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario3.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Online resources|Online resources]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share and access the best Internet resources on scenario thinking and related subjects.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario2.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/What_is_Scenario_Thinking%3F#Benefits_of_Scenario_Thinking.28Scenario_Planning.29|Why scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">From Scenarios to Strategy explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario4.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Driving Forces]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A database that offers us quick insight into important developments in almost every aspect of society...</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD style1"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Craft</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Utilize</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario5.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Student scenarios|Student scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A large database of scenarios by students with business study background...</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario7.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Innovations|Innovation]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Here we exchange new ideas and share our thoughts about the way innovative scenario planning can benefit us.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario6.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Expert scenarios|Expert scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">This section conatains scenarios developed by companies for their strategic needs.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario8.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[From Scenarios to Strategy|Strategy]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario9.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td colspan="4"><span class="subtitle">[[Contributors|Contributors]]</span><p class="front">We have dedicated that section to the people that decided to share their knowledge on scenario thinking and thus enrich the global community.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_were_information_warfare_activites%3F&diff=25141What were information warfare activites?2008-07-18T13:54:57Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table border="0" class="frontTable"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" colspan="5"><table width="100%" border="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" style="vertical-align:bottom"><br/><font size="-1">Welcome</font><font size="-1"> to '''ScenarioThinking.org''', the world's No.1 open community on scenario thinking and scenario planning where you can publish scenarios, reflect on the planning processes and share online resources about scenario planning in a democratic and inclusive manner. ScenarioThinking.org, based on the [http://www.mediawiki.org mediawiki] technology, is currently sponsored by [http://www.danielerasmus.com Daniel Erasmus] and the [http://www.dtn.net DTN], which since 1996 has been active in the field of scenario planning and publishing scenarios online to grow the public discourse in the scenario thinking space. The philosophy is that we all benefit by sharing our scenario planning knowledge about this unique 30-year old process.<br><br />
</font><br></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="50">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="75" align="center">[[image:Scenario10.png | Agenda]]<div align="center">[[Agenda]]</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Discover</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="20px">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Gather</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario1.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|What are scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share your thoughts on scenario thinking and find out what it is.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario3.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Online resources|Online resources]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share and access the best Internet resources on scenario thinking and related subjects.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario2.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?#Scenario_Planning.29|Why scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">From Scenarios to Strategy explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario4.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Driving Forces]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A database that offers us quick insight into important developments in almost every aspect of society...</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD style1"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Craft</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Utilize</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario5.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Student scenarios|Student scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A large database of scenarios by students with business study background...</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario7.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Innovations|Innovation]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Here we exchange new ideas and share our thoughts about the way innovative scenario planning can benefit us.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario6.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Expert scenarios|Expert scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">This section conatains scenarios developed by companies for their strategic needs.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario8.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[From Scenarios to Strategy|Strategy]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario9.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td colspan="4"><span class="subtitle">[[Contributors|Contributors]]</span><p class="front">We have dedicated that section to the people that decided to share their knowledge on scenario thinking and thus enrich the global community.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_were_information_warfare_activites%3F&diff=25140What were information warfare activites?2008-07-18T13:53:45Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table border="0" class="frontTable"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" colspan="5"><table width="100%" border="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" style="vertical-align:bottom"><br/><font size="-1">Welcome</font><font size="-1"> to '''ScenarioThinking.org''', the world's No.1 open community on scenario thinking and scenario planning where you can publish scenarios, reflect on the planning processes and share online resources about scenario planning in a democratic and inclusive manner. ScenarioThinking.org, based on the [http://www.mediawiki.org mediawiki] technology, is currently sponsored by [http://www.danielerasmus.com Daniel Erasmus] and the [http://www.dtn.net DTN], which since 1996 has been active in the field of scenario planning and publishing scenarios online to grow the public discourse in the scenario thinking space. The philosophy is that we all benefit by sharing our scenario planning knowledge about this unique 30-year old process.<br><br />
</font><br></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="50">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="75" align="center">[[image:Scenario10.png | Agenda]]<div align="center">[[Agenda]]</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Discover</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="20px">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Gather</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario1.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?#Why_Scenario_Thinking.28Scenario_Planning.29|What are scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share your thoughts on scenario thinking and find out what it is.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario3.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Online resources|Online resources]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share and access the best Internet resources on scenario thinking and related subjects.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario2.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|Why scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">From Scenarios to Strategy explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario4.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Driving Forces]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A database that offers us quick insight into important developments in almost every aspect of society...</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD style1"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Craft</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Utilize</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario5.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Student scenarios|Student scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A large database of scenarios by students with business study background...</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario7.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Innovations|Innovation]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Here we exchange new ideas and share our thoughts about the way innovative scenario planning can benefit us.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario6.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Expert scenarios|Expert scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">This section conatains scenarios developed by companies for their strategic needs.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario8.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[From Scenarios to Strategy|Strategy]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario9.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td colspan="4"><span class="subtitle">[[Contributors|Contributors]]</span><p class="front">We have dedicated that section to the people that decided to share their knowledge on scenario thinking and thus enrich the global community.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_were_information_warfare_activites%3F&diff=25139What were information warfare activites?2008-07-18T13:47:13Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table border="0" class="frontTable"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" colspan="5"><table width="100%" border="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td class="emptyTD" style="vertical-align:bottom"><br/><font size="-1">Welcome</font><font size="-1"> to '''ScenarioThinking.org''', the world's No.1 open community on scenario thinking and scenario planning where you can publish scenarios, reflect on the planning processes and share online resources about scenario planning in a democratic and inclusive manner. ScenarioThinking.org, based on the [http://www.mediawiki.org mediawiki] technology, is currently sponsored by [http://www.danielerasmus.com Daniel Erasmus] and the [http://www.dtn.net DTN], which since 1996 has been active in the field of scenario planning and publishing scenarios online to grow the public discourse in the scenario thinking space. The philosophy is that we all benefit by sharing our scenario planning knowledge about this unique 30-year old process.<br><br />
</font><br></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="50">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="75" align="center">[[image:Scenario10.png | Agenda]]<div align="center">[[Agenda]]</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Discover</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD" width="20px">&nbsp;</td><br />
<td colspan="2" style="width:350px"><div class="sectionHeading">Gather</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario1.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|What are scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share your thoughts on scenario thinking and find out what it is.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario3.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Online resources|Online resources]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Share and access the best Internet resources on scenario thinking and related subjects.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario2.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[What is Scenario Thinking?|Why scenarios?]]</span><br />
<p class="front">From Scenarios to Strategy explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario4.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Driving Forces]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A database that offers us quick insight into important developments in almost every aspect of society...</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD style1"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Craft</div></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td colspan="2"><div class="sectionHeading">Utilize</div></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario5.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Student scenarios|Student scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">A large database of scenarios by students with business study background...</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario7.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Innovations|Innovation]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Here we exchange new ideas and share our thoughts about the way innovative scenario planning can benefit us.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario6.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[Expert scenarios|Expert scenarios]]</span><br />
<p class="front">This section conatains scenarios developed by companies for their strategic needs.</p></td><br />
<td class="emptyTD"></td><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario8.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td><span class="subtitle">[[From Scenarios to Strategy|Strategy]]</span><br />
<p class="front">Explores the possibilities of transforming scenario planning into strategic action.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td colspan="5" class="emptyTD"><span>-</span></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td><div class="frontImage">[[image:Scenario9.png | test]]</div></td><br />
<td colspan="4"><span class="subtitle">[[Contributors|Contributors]]</span><p class="front">We have dedicated that section to the people that decided to share their knowledge on scenario thinking and thus enrich the global community.</p></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=MediaWiki:Sidebar&diff=25138MediaWiki:Sidebar2008-07-18T13:38:31Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>*navigation<br />
** mainpage|Main Page<br />
** http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Scenario_Thinking_Portal|Scenario Thinking Portal<br />
** http://scenariothinking.org/wiki/index.php/Driving_Forces|Scenario Driving Forces<br />
** http://www.dtn.net|Digital Thinking Network<br />
** http://www.danielerasmus.com|Daniel Erasmus' Homepage<br />
** helppage|Help</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_are_the_different_categories_of_cyber_warfare%3F&diff=24946What are the different categories of cyber warfare?2008-07-15T15:07:44Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>There are several levels of cyber war, of which three stand out: cyber war as an adjunct to military operations; limited cyber war; and unrestricted cyber war. <br><br />
In effect, the first form of cyber warfare focuses almost exclusively on military cyber targets. In a limited cyber war, the information infrastructure is the medium, target and weapon of attack, with little or no real-world action accompanying the attack. <br><br />
An unrestricted cyber campaign would almost certainly be directed primarily against the target country's critical national infrastructure: energy, transportation, finance, water, communications, emergency services and the information infrastructure itself. It would likely cross boundaries between government and private sectors, and, if sophisticated and coordinated, would have both immediate impact and delayed consequences. Ultimately, an unrestricted cyber attack would likely result in significant loss of life, as well as economic and social degradation.<br><br />
(Countering cyber war, NATO Review - Vol. 49 - No 4 - Winter 2001)<img src="scenario7.png" width="100" height="100" /><br />
http://www.nato.int/docu/review/2001/0104-04.htm<br />
<div align="right"><br />
<Rating><br />
How do you think about the A380 airbus?<br />
1 (Hated it)<br />
2<br />
3<br />
4<br />
5 (Loved it)<br />
</Rating><br />
</div></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=CiNum_2030_scenarios&diff=22969CiNum 2030 scenarios2007-12-14T12:20:35Z<p>Jan: /* Four assumptions, three questions */</p>
<hr />
<div><small>[[Main_Page|Scenariothinking.org]] > [[Cinum|Ci'Num 07 Homepage]] > The 2030 Scenarios</small><br />
{| width="100%" cellspacing="8" align="center"<br />
| rowspan="4" width="10%" valign="top" style="border:2px solid #FDBD24;" bgcolor="#FFFF99"|<br />
<div align="left"><br />
<center><span style="color:#FF7723;">'''Contribute to Ci'Num's 2030 scenarios'''</span></center><br><br />
<small><br />
*[[What_is_Scenario_Thinking%3F|What is Scenario Thinking? >>]]<br><br />
*[[CiNum_2030_scenarios|The mechanics and roots of Ci'Num's 2030 scenarios]]<br />
*[[Ci'Num 2030 scenario characteristics|Ci'Num 2030 detailed scenario characteristics >>]]<br />
*The 4 scenarios:<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Collapse]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Long war(s)]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|New enlightenment]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Hundred Flowers]]<br />
</small></div><br />
|}<br />
<br><br />
=Introduction=<br />
Albert Einstein said that the distinction between past, present and future is only a “stubbornly persistent illusion”. Henry Ford was less eloquent: History, he said, is more or less bunk. Without presuming to acknowledge the wisdom of these pronouncements, we offer our own assumption: There is no past and there is no future. Neither exists in its own right to be experienced or examined as objective phenomena. We can argue with some rigor that there is a present, something experienced in the now. The past, however, is always much more constructed, but informed by our collective memory, our connective activities and discursive practices, by books, films and archives. Constructing events in the past leads us to better understand the present. And to the extent that this happens, our understanding will always be qualified by our views about what happened, our rationalization for what occurred, our wishful thinking about what went on. <br />
<br />
Future thinking is also a limited, if not an illusory, activity to uncover what holds in the landscape ahead. The future cannot be “discovered” or known in an objective manner. Scenario thinking subscribes to this assumption. It is not an attempt to know or capture events and happenings that will define the future. Instead, scenarios are attempts to better understand the present and are intended to inform our thinking and the actions we take- here and now. It is an exercise that enriches our thinking about the past, connecting us with precedents that brought us to this point in time. It sharpens our understanding of the politics of the present, and strengthens our ability to discern the implications of the decisions we make. Rather than indicate where things will go, scenarios suggest how we can better inform our decision-making within the present context, much as our present actions are informed by our knowledge and understanding—our memories-- of the past. <br />
<br />
=The spirit of Ci'Num's scenarios=<br />
The scenarios described in CiNum are modest attempts to look 30 years ahead, endeavoring to think through humanity’s somewhat disconcerting relationship with technology in the 20th Century. In the EU, and to some extent in the US, there is a general assumption that things will get increasingly difficult and life will get worse. The outlook is unique for a period in post-Enlightenment. To be sure, this discouragement is not a global phenomenon; in places such as China and elsewhere, the assumptions are different. The scenarios presented in this paper are an attempt to look beyond the current set of revolutionary technologies to ask ourselves what kind of societies, systems and situations are being created; and to bring a measure of coherency to our answers.<br />
<br />
Compared to other foresight exercises, Ci'Num intends to produce two distinctive contributions:<br />
* By lending more attention to the role of technology in the construction of the future. Emerging technologies provide us with an unprecedented power of understanding, imagination and action - along with the risks and uncertainties proportionate to that power.<br />
* By focusing on the ways, tools and methods through which we may shape our individual and collective futures, and increase the options available to future generations. In other words, Ci'Num is not about forecasting or choosing any given future, but about identifying what is needed so as to ''empower each and everyone to alter his or her future'', whatever their present comes to be...<br />
<br />
The project began as long term scenarios into the future of digital civilization—a topic as intimidating as it was limiting in its stress on technology. This presentation represents a shift in the project where the focus is more on the context in which technology operates, rather than on technology per se. We believe that technological inventiveness and progress will continue unabated. However, talking about the technology was not a conduit to better understanding of the context in which it operates, and would be a cul de sac in exploring technology’s role in society. Thus the scenarios are trained on the broad space around technological developments, the key uncertainties they generate, and the kind of environment—the communities, institutions and situations— they are creating.<br />
<br />
=Four assumptions, three questions=<br />
The mechanics of 2007's scenarios is based on one major assumption: That the form wich our future will take will largely depend on how we address global planetary constraint in terms of environment, climate and exhaustible natural resources.<br />
Our departure point is the premise advanced by the Club of Rome in its 1972 report, The Limits to Growth: That the biosphere has a carrying capacity beyond which natural systems collapse and the earth can no longer support our life and livelihoods. The scenarios assume the following:<br />
<br />
<center>[[Image:CiNum07_Scenario_Tree_V2.PNG]]</center><br />
<br />
As a tool for acting in the present, the scenarios should be seen as a modest start to a broader attempt at bringing a sense of tomorrow into the debates of today.<br />
<br />
=The 4 scenarios=<br />
==Scenario 1- "[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Collapse]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
Despite having the necessary technologies at hand, we have collectively done nothing to reduce global warming and to plan for shortages in fossil energies, fresh water, arable land, etc. Crises of growing frequency and seriousness occur, seriously hurting the world economy and producing severe human damage, both nature- and man-made, especially in developing countries. Hundreds of millions of refugees roam Asia and Africa and the migratory pressure on the North becomes unbearable. Borders close, local conflicts multiply and threaten to extend, mobility decreases, economies and societies try to relocalize. Public spirit is low; it spontaneously produces both local conflicts and solidarities, but this solidarity can no longer extend globally, since each group fights for its own survival. Technology is mostly used to plan for and cope with coming or present difficulties, as well as to provide alternatives or escapes from an uninspiring daily life. Alternatives are found in frugal, hyperlocal community-building. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 2- "[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Long war(s) / Imperialism]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
The way around climate change and resource shortages is found through the simultaneous modernization of rich countries and slowing down of growth in rising countries, especially in Asia, while the path to industrial growth remains essentially closed to least developed nations. This is achieved by a de facto alliance of governments and large firms in the North, to hoard global natural resources and distribute them in an "ordered" way, giving priority to their home countries and their spheres of influence. This produces a permanent state of low-intensity, mostly economic, sometimes military conflict, mostly involving minor countries, but also using terrorism as a constant threat. Nation-states regain strength as the need for security grows, both internally and externally. International trade is slightly reduced and becomes a political weapon, as does the economy in general, producing erratic movements, inflation and high savings. Technological developments are fast but mostly targeted towards security and sustainability, and unequally shared. Public spirit is incensed, both against exterior enemies, as within countries, with strong opposition movements. Technology also becomes the tool of choice for the emergence of counter-cultures, hoping to bring about major changes in the state of the world and, meanwhile, trying to implement them at local, community- or project-based levels. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 3- "[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|New enlightenment]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
Citizens and governments achieve a level of global consciousness that allows them to make a deliberate, common effort to prepare for a better future. Rules and regulations are enforced at local and global scales to reduce emissions and energy consumption. Taxes and other incentives try to orient corporate and consumer behaviours towards sustainability. Major projects with global or continental funding produce huge windfarms or solar plants, and test new technologies at a grand scale. Development becomes a priority, with the aim of helping fast development beyond the resource-intensive, heavy-industry phases. "Guilds" emerge as ways of organizing people at a less-than-global scale, along geographic or community bounds. Strong collective pressure is imposed on "deviant" behaviours, be they individual, corporate or national. Democratic discussion is open, but decisions are strongly enforced. Scientific research and technological innovation is subject to strong ethical overseeing and funded according to its contribution to common goals, including the will to broaden the public domain of knowledge and share capabilities. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 4- "[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Hundred Flowers]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
A combination of widespread innovation and bottom-up initiatives at local and global scales produces significant changes in energy consumption and production patterns: decentralized energy systems, substitution of products by services, innovative materials in everything from building to clothing to transportation, "cradle-to-cradle" product design, etc. Consumers strongly reward eco-friendly corporations and punish the others, helped by evaluation tools as well as private and public labelling mechanisms. Networks become the primary infrastructure, and the immaterial component of all economies becomes the main source of wealth, trade and growth. Markets and co-operative initiatives compete in achieving desirable goals for all. Global initiatives are mainly directed towards free trade and open markets; powerful, pervasive and mostly free communication networks; and education, whose role and process change deeply. Individuals and groups form the fabric of society, lowering levels of solidarity between groups or with disenfranchised individuals. Armed conflicts decrease while global crime becomes a major, almost recognized force. Diversity and autonomy are primary values at the expense of more common values. Technology developments are targeted towards human enhancement, peer-to-peer communications, empowerment. Crises and catastrophes are more difficult to fight but their occurrence does not destabilize the overall system. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=CiNum_2030_scenarios&diff=22968CiNum 2030 scenarios2007-12-14T12:18:02Z<p>Jan: /* The spirit of Ci'Num's scenarios */</p>
<hr />
<div><small>[[Main_Page|Scenariothinking.org]] > [[Cinum|Ci'Num 07 Homepage]] > The 2030 Scenarios</small><br />
{| width="100%" cellspacing="8" align="center"<br />
| rowspan="4" width="10%" valign="top" style="border:2px solid #FDBD24;" bgcolor="#FFFF99"|<br />
<div align="left"><br />
<center><span style="color:#FF7723;">'''Contribute to Ci'Num's 2030 scenarios'''</span></center><br><br />
<small><br />
*[[What_is_Scenario_Thinking%3F|What is Scenario Thinking? >>]]<br><br />
*[[CiNum_2030_scenarios|The mechanics and roots of Ci'Num's 2030 scenarios]]<br />
*[[Ci'Num 2030 scenario characteristics|Ci'Num 2030 detailed scenario characteristics >>]]<br />
*The 4 scenarios:<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Collapse]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Long war(s)]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|New enlightenment]]<br />
**[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Hundred Flowers]]<br />
</small></div><br />
|}<br />
<br><br />
=Introduction=<br />
Albert Einstein said that the distinction between past, present and future is only a “stubbornly persistent illusion”. Henry Ford was less eloquent: History, he said, is more or less bunk. Without presuming to acknowledge the wisdom of these pronouncements, we offer our own assumption: There is no past and there is no future. Neither exists in its own right to be experienced or examined as objective phenomena. We can argue with some rigor that there is a present, something experienced in the now. The past, however, is always much more constructed, but informed by our collective memory, our connective activities and discursive practices, by books, films and archives. Constructing events in the past leads us to better understand the present. And to the extent that this happens, our understanding will always be qualified by our views about what happened, our rationalization for what occurred, our wishful thinking about what went on. <br />
<br />
Future thinking is also a limited, if not an illusory, activity to uncover what holds in the landscape ahead. The future cannot be “discovered” or known in an objective manner. Scenario thinking subscribes to this assumption. It is not an attempt to know or capture events and happenings that will define the future. Instead, scenarios are attempts to better understand the present and are intended to inform our thinking and the actions we take- here and now. It is an exercise that enriches our thinking about the past, connecting us with precedents that brought us to this point in time. It sharpens our understanding of the politics of the present, and strengthens our ability to discern the implications of the decisions we make. Rather than indicate where things will go, scenarios suggest how we can better inform our decision-making within the present context, much as our present actions are informed by our knowledge and understanding—our memories-- of the past. <br />
<br />
=The spirit of Ci'Num's scenarios=<br />
The scenarios described in CiNum are modest attempts to look 30 years ahead, endeavoring to think through humanity’s somewhat disconcerting relationship with technology in the 20th Century. In the EU, and to some extent in the US, there is a general assumption that things will get increasingly difficult and life will get worse. The outlook is unique for a period in post-Enlightenment. To be sure, this discouragement is not a global phenomenon; in places such as China and elsewhere, the assumptions are different. The scenarios presented in this paper are an attempt to look beyond the current set of revolutionary technologies to ask ourselves what kind of societies, systems and situations are being created; and to bring a measure of coherency to our answers.<br />
<br />
Compared to other foresight exercises, Ci'Num intends to produce two distinctive contributions:<br />
* By lending more attention to the role of technology in the construction of the future. Emerging technologies provide us with an unprecedented power of understanding, imagination and action - along with the risks and uncertainties proportionate to that power.<br />
* By focusing on the ways, tools and methods through which we may shape our individual and collective futures, and increase the options available to future generations. In other words, Ci'Num is not about forecasting or choosing any given future, but about identifying what is needed so as to ''empower each and everyone to alter his or her future'', whatever their present comes to be...<br />
<br />
The project began as long term scenarios into the future of digital civilization—a topic as intimidating as it was limiting in its stress on technology. This presentation represents a shift in the project where the focus is more on the context in which technology operates, rather than on technology per se. We believe that technological inventiveness and progress will continue unabated. However, talking about the technology was not a conduit to better understanding of the context in which it operates, and would be a cul de sac in exploring technology’s role in society. Thus the scenarios are trained on the broad space around technological developments, the key uncertainties they generate, and the kind of environment—the communities, institutions and situations— they are creating.<br />
<br />
=Four assumptions, three questions=<br />
The mechanics of 2007's scenarios is based on one major assumption: That the form wich our future will take will largely depend on how we address global planetary constraint in terms of environment, climate and exhaustible natural resources.<br />
<br />
<center>[[Image:CiNum07_Scenario_Tree_V2.PNG]]</center><br />
<br />
=The 4 scenarios=<br />
==Scenario 1- "[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Collapse]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
Despite having the necessary technologies at hand, we have collectively done nothing to reduce global warming and to plan for shortages in fossil energies, fresh water, arable land, etc. Crises of growing frequency and seriousness occur, seriously hurting the world economy and producing severe human damage, both nature- and man-made, especially in developing countries. Hundreds of millions of refugees roam Asia and Africa and the migratory pressure on the North becomes unbearable. Borders close, local conflicts multiply and threaten to extend, mobility decreases, economies and societies try to relocalize. Public spirit is low; it spontaneously produces both local conflicts and solidarities, but this solidarity can no longer extend globally, since each group fights for its own survival. Technology is mostly used to plan for and cope with coming or present difficulties, as well as to provide alternatives or escapes from an uninspiring daily life. Alternatives are found in frugal, hyperlocal community-building. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 1: Collapse|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 2- "[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Long war(s) / Imperialism]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
The way around climate change and resource shortages is found through the simultaneous modernization of rich countries and slowing down of growth in rising countries, especially in Asia, while the path to industrial growth remains essentially closed to least developed nations. This is achieved by a de facto alliance of governments and large firms in the North, to hoard global natural resources and distribute them in an "ordered" way, giving priority to their home countries and their spheres of influence. This produces a permanent state of low-intensity, mostly economic, sometimes military conflict, mostly involving minor countries, but also using terrorism as a constant threat. Nation-states regain strength as the need for security grows, both internally and externally. International trade is slightly reduced and becomes a political weapon, as does the economy in general, producing erratic movements, inflation and high savings. Technological developments are fast but mostly targeted towards security and sustainability, and unequally shared. Public spirit is incensed, both against exterior enemies, as within countries, with strong opposition movements. Technology also becomes the tool of choice for the emergence of counter-cultures, hoping to bring about major changes in the state of the world and, meanwhile, trying to implement them at local, community- or project-based levels. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 2: Long war(s)|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 3- "[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|New enlightenment]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
Citizens and governments achieve a level of global consciousness that allows them to make a deliberate, common effort to prepare for a better future. Rules and regulations are enforced at local and global scales to reduce emissions and energy consumption. Taxes and other incentives try to orient corporate and consumer behaviours towards sustainability. Major projects with global or continental funding produce huge windfarms or solar plants, and test new technologies at a grand scale. Development becomes a priority, with the aim of helping fast development beyond the resource-intensive, heavy-industry phases. "Guilds" emerge as ways of organizing people at a less-than-global scale, along geographic or community bounds. Strong collective pressure is imposed on "deviant" behaviours, be they individual, corporate or national. Democratic discussion is open, but decisions are strongly enforced. Scientific research and technological innovation is subject to strong ethical overseeing and funded according to its contribution to common goals, including the will to broaden the public domain of knowledge and share capabilities. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 3: New enlightenment|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''<br />
<br />
==Scenario 4- "[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Hundred Flowers]]"==<br />
<br />
''Quick summary:''<br ><br />
A combination of widespread innovation and bottom-up initiatives at local and global scales produces significant changes in energy consumption and production patterns: decentralized energy systems, substitution of products by services, innovative materials in everything from building to clothing to transportation, "cradle-to-cradle" product design, etc. Consumers strongly reward eco-friendly corporations and punish the others, helped by evaluation tools as well as private and public labelling mechanisms. Networks become the primary infrastructure, and the immaterial component of all economies becomes the main source of wealth, trade and growth. Markets and co-operative initiatives compete in achieving desirable goals for all. Global initiatives are mainly directed towards free trade and open markets; powerful, pervasive and mostly free communication networks; and education, whose role and process change deeply. Individuals and groups form the fabric of society, lowering levels of solidarity between groups or with disenfranchised individuals. Armed conflicts decrease while global crime becomes a major, almost recognized force. Diversity and autonomy are primary values at the expense of more common values. Technology developments are targeted towards human enhancement, peer-to-peer communications, empowerment. Crises and catastrophes are more difficult to fight but their occurrence does not destabilize the overall system. [...]<br />
<br />
''[[Ci'Num scenario 4: Hundred Flowers|Read and react to the rest for the scenario >>]]''</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Change_Log&diff=22917Change Log2007-08-22T14:50:21Z<p>Jan: /* Changing the Navigation Bar */</p>
<hr />
<div>Here we write down how we got the more complicated tasks done, so we can do them again. <br />
<br />
===Changing the Navigation Bar===<br />
<br />
NOW SIMPLE: search for the page mediawiki:sidebar and change the variables (only sysop).<br />
<br />
This document explains how to modify the WIKI's "navigation bar" in versio 1.4. The navigation bar is a very usefull element in WIKI to facilitate the navigation in WIKI.<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''1) Modify the Navigation bar variable:'''<br />
<br />
There are several files that need to be changed in order to configue the bar. The first thing to change is the variable that contains the description of the navigation bar:<br />
<br />
<pre>$wgNavigationLinks = array (<br />
array( 'text'=>'mainpage', 'href'=>'mainpage' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'portal', 'href'=>'portal-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'currentevents', 'href'=>'currentevents-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'recentchanges', 'href'=>'recentchanges-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'randompage', 'href'=>'randompage-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'sitesupport', 'href'=>'sitesupport-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'drivingforces', 'href'=>'Driving Forces-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'examplescenarios', 'href'=>'Example Scenarios-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'dtn', 'href'=>'dtn-url' ),<br />
); <br />
</pre><br />
<br />
This varible should be located in the LocalSettings.php from the WIKI (it is in the root). If this variable is not there, then copy it there from the includes/DefaultSettings.php.<br />
<br />
The array allows the configuration of the navigation bar by adding or removing links. The links can be inside WIKI pages or outside. <br />
<br />
Each line contains a link, and it is form by two words:<br />
<br />
<pre> array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ), </pre><br />
<br />
The first is the pointer of the text that is going to appear in the bar. The second is the pointer to the page (internal or external).<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''2) Modify the NameSpace:'''<br />
<br />
One the variable is updated, the second step is to configure the NameSpace. These are the real names that are going to appear in the navigation bar. It is important to note that these names can appear in any language (Spanish, English, Catalan....) in WIKI. The name space are the translation from the pointer that we have set in the variable to the real languages.<br><br />
The most esay thing is do it only in English. The english version file in located in /WIKI/languages/laguage.php. Open this file and include the content:<br />
<br />
<pre><br />
'Driving Forces-url' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the link, the name is internal wiki page<br />
'drivingforces' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the name in the navigatio bar<br />
</pre><br />
It is possible to include an external link:<br />
<pre><br />
'dtn-url' => 'http://www.dtn.net', ## external link<br />
</pre><br />
<br />
save the file and place it again in /WIKI/languages.<br />
<br><br />
<br />
===Make login compulsory===<br />
<br />
By adding the following line to LocalSettings.php, it is possible to entirely disable anonymous edits:<br />
<pre> #Entirely disable Anonymous Edits<br />
$wgWhitelistEdit = true;</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Blocking Users===<br />
To block a user go to 'Special pages'; 'block user'.<br><br />
Another way is to block directly in your watchlist.<br />
<br />
===Allowing Media Uploads===<br />
To allow media uploads with different extensions from what is accepted by default, add the following line in Local Settings, with the required extensions. <br />
<br />
<pre>$wgFileExtensions = array( 'png', 'gif', 'jpg', 'jpeg', 'ogg', 'pdf', 'doc', 'ppt', 'mp3', 'm4a', 'mov');</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Changing the site subtitle===<br />
To change the site subtitle in the 'colon bleu' skin.<br />
'''In the wiki'''<br><br />
Go to 'special pages' and than to 'all system messages'. There locate 'sitesubtitle' and click on the link. Here you can change the text. <br />
<br />
'''On the server'''<br><br />
Alternatively. Follow above instructions, but in stead of changing the text just delete it. Then go to the server to:<br />
languages/languages.php and change text in the following line: <br />
'sitesubtitle' => 'TEXT', # FIXME</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Five_minute_instruction_on_using_the_Scenario_Thinking_site&diff=19191Five minute instruction on using the Scenario Thinking site2007-02-12T12:51:33Z<p>Jan: /* For Administrators */</p>
<hr />
<div>Instructions are written for the default Skin setting ‘Cologne blue’, but most of it will apply to the other skins as well. <br />
<br />
===Signing in===<br />
We ask you to first sign in. For this you don’t have to submit any personal information at all. By signing in people can see who made a change. If you leave your e-mail address people can contact you about the changes you made to the site, without knowing your email address.<br><br />
Signing in is compulsory if you want to make edits to Scenariothinking, but you don't have to use your own name if you sign in. <br><br />
To sign in, go to ‘Create an account or log in’ under ‘My pages’.<br />
<br />
===Start editing===<br />
If you want to contribute to a page you can click on ‘edit this page’ at the bottom of the page or in the navigation bar. This will make it possible to edit the whole page.<br><br />
You can also choose to click on one of the ‘edit’ links on the right. This makes it possible to edit only a section of the page. <br><br />
After clicking one of those two options you will enter the editing page. Here you can change everything. <br />
You will see that there is a toolbar. If you want to use it, just highlight the text you want to use it on and click on an icon in the toolbar.<br />
<br />
===Writing text===<br />
These are basic functions you need to know for writing a text.<br />
*For the text to start on a new line: type <nowiki><br></nowiki> at the end. You don’t have to press return after this, but it will make it easier to see the structure of the text when you do. <br />
*For keeping a line white just add another <nowiki><br></nowiki>.<br />
*For italic text: type <nowiki>''</nowiki> before and after the text you want to write in italics. Example: <nowiki>''italic''</nowiki> shows as: ''italic'' Example: <nowiki>'''bold'''</nowiki> shows as '''bold'''<br />
*For headlines: type <nowiki>=</nowiki> before and after the headline text. The more <nowiki>=</nowiki> you type (same amount before and after) the smaller the headline. A table of content is automatically made out of the headlines. Example: the headline of this section is typed as: <nowiki>===Writing text===</nowiki><br />
<br />
===Links===<br />
To link to an external site put the URL in between [ ]. Leave one space after the URL and type the text that you want to show as a link. Always write down the whole URL, including http. Example:<nowiki>[http://scenariothinking.org ScenarioThinking]</nowiki> will show as ScenarioThinking<br />
To link to another page in the Wiki just put the name of the page you want to link to in between [[ ]]. This function is capital sensitive. The name of the page will also show as link. If you want the link to show as a different text to the link, you can first put down the name of the site you want to link to, than type | and than the text you want to show.<br />
<br />
''Note: This wiki site has taken some anti-spam precautions, so some spammy links will be forbidden to include in the content of any page''<br />
<br />
===Images & Media===<br />
To insert an image or media file, you first have to upload the file. To do this, go to Upload file under Special pages and follow the instructions.<br />
====Images====<br />
To put the image on the page, type 'image:', image name, including the extension. For example: <nowiki>[[Image:photo.jpg]]</nowiki>. <br />
<br />
====Sound====<br />
To put the sound on the page, type 'media:', followed by the name of the media, including the extension. For example: <nowiki>[[Media:conversation.ldl]]</nowiki>. The link will show as 'Media'. To give it another name just put | behind the name of the image and type the name you want the link to have. For example: <nowiki>[[Media:sound.ldl|conversation]]</nowiki><br />
====Video====<br />
Although it is technically possible to upload video content to a wiki, we ask you to host any video content you want to share in another place and link it to scenariothinking.org. If that is not an option, please send the video content to the [[DTN Address|DTN]] and we will host it for you. You can also contact [mailto:janb@dtn.net Jan] first.<br />
<br />
----<br />
===For Administrators===<br />
This is a special section on the help site for Scenariothinking administrators, though anyone is welcome to have a look. <br />
<br />
[http://meta.wikipedia.org/wiki/MediaWiki_User%27s_Guide For a general user guide go here.]<br><br />
[http://meta.wikipedia.org/wiki/MediaWiki_i18n For instructions on how to customize the interface look here.]<br><br />
For an overview of changes made and how to make them go to the [[Change Log]].</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Five_minute_instruction_on_using_the_Scenario_Thinking_site&diff=19190Five minute instruction on using the Scenario Thinking site2007-02-12T12:51:02Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>Instructions are written for the default Skin setting ‘Cologne blue’, but most of it will apply to the other skins as well. <br />
<br />
===Signing in===<br />
We ask you to first sign in. For this you don’t have to submit any personal information at all. By signing in people can see who made a change. If you leave your e-mail address people can contact you about the changes you made to the site, without knowing your email address.<br><br />
Signing in is compulsory if you want to make edits to Scenariothinking, but you don't have to use your own name if you sign in. <br><br />
To sign in, go to ‘Create an account or log in’ under ‘My pages’.<br />
<br />
===Start editing===<br />
If you want to contribute to a page you can click on ‘edit this page’ at the bottom of the page or in the navigation bar. This will make it possible to edit the whole page.<br><br />
You can also choose to click on one of the ‘edit’ links on the right. This makes it possible to edit only a section of the page. <br><br />
After clicking one of those two options you will enter the editing page. Here you can change everything. <br />
You will see that there is a toolbar. If you want to use it, just highlight the text you want to use it on and click on an icon in the toolbar.<br />
<br />
===Writing text===<br />
These are basic functions you need to know for writing a text.<br />
*For the text to start on a new line: type <nowiki><br></nowiki> at the end. You don’t have to press return after this, but it will make it easier to see the structure of the text when you do. <br />
*For keeping a line white just add another <nowiki><br></nowiki>.<br />
*For italic text: type <nowiki>''</nowiki> before and after the text you want to write in italics. Example: <nowiki>''italic''</nowiki> shows as: ''italic'' Example: <nowiki>'''bold'''</nowiki> shows as '''bold'''<br />
*For headlines: type <nowiki>=</nowiki> before and after the headline text. The more <nowiki>=</nowiki> you type (same amount before and after) the smaller the headline. A table of content is automatically made out of the headlines. Example: the headline of this section is typed as: <nowiki>===Writing text===</nowiki><br />
<br />
===Links===<br />
To link to an external site put the URL in between [ ]. Leave one space after the URL and type the text that you want to show as a link. Always write down the whole URL, including http. Example:<nowiki>[http://scenariothinking.org ScenarioThinking]</nowiki> will show as ScenarioThinking<br />
To link to another page in the Wiki just put the name of the page you want to link to in between [[ ]]. This function is capital sensitive. The name of the page will also show as link. If you want the link to show as a different text to the link, you can first put down the name of the site you want to link to, than type | and than the text you want to show.<br />
<br />
''Note: This wiki site has taken some anti-spam precautions, so some spammy links will be forbidden to include in the content of any page''<br />
<br />
===Images & Media===<br />
To insert an image or media file, you first have to upload the file. To do this, go to Upload file under Special pages and follow the instructions.<br />
====Images====<br />
To put the image on the page, type 'image:', image name, including the extension. For example: <nowiki>[[Image:photo.jpg]]</nowiki>. <br />
<br />
====Sound====<br />
To put the sound on the page, type 'media:', followed by the name of the media, including the extension. For example: <nowiki>[[Media:conversation.ldl]]</nowiki>. The link will show as 'Media'. To give it another name just put | behind the name of the image and type the name you want the link to have. For example: <nowiki>[[Media:sound.ldl|conversation]]</nowiki><br />
====Video====<br />
Although it is technically possible to upload video content to a wiki, we ask you to host any video content you want to share in another place and link it to scenariothinking.org. If that is not an option, please send the video content to the [[DTN Address|DTN]] and we will host it for you. You can also contact [mailto:janb@dtn.net Jan] first.<br />
<br />
====For Administrators====<br />
This is a special section on the help site for Scenariothinking administrators, though anyone is welcome to have a look. <br />
<br />
[http://meta.wikipedia.org/wiki/MediaWiki_User%27s_Guide For a general user guide go here.]<br><br />
[http://meta.wikipedia.org/wiki/MediaWiki_i18n For instructions on how to customize the interface look here.]<br><br />
For an overview of changes made and how to make them go to the [[Change Log]].</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Change_Log&diff=12356Change Log2005-09-19T08:49:38Z<p>Jan: /* Changing the site subtitle= */</p>
<hr />
<div>Here we write down how we got the more complicated tasks done, so we can do them again. <br />
<br />
===Changing the Navigation Bar===<br />
This document explains how to modify the WIKI's "navigation bar" in versio 1.4. The navigation bar is a very usefull element in WIKI to facilitate the navigation in WIKI.<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''1) Modify the Navigation bar variable:'''<br />
<br />
There are several files that need to be changed in order to configue the bar. The first thing to change is the variable that contains the description of the navigation bar:<br />
<br />
<pre>$wgNavigationLinks = array (<br />
array( 'text'=>'mainpage', 'href'=>'mainpage' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'portal', 'href'=>'portal-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'currentevents', 'href'=>'currentevents-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'recentchanges', 'href'=>'recentchanges-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'randompage', 'href'=>'randompage-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'sitesupport', 'href'=>'sitesupport-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'drivingforces', 'href'=>'Driving Forces-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'examplescenarios', 'href'=>'Example Scenarios-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'dtn', 'href'=>'dtn-url' ),<br />
); <br />
</pre><br />
<br />
This varible should be located in the LocalSettings.php from the WIKI (it is in the root). If this variable is not there, then copy it there from the includes/DefaultSettings.php.<br />
<br />
The array allows the configuration of the navigation bar by adding or removing links. The links can be inside WIKI pages or outside. <br />
<br />
Each line contains a link, and it is form by two words:<br />
<br />
<pre> array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ), </pre><br />
<br />
The first is the pointer of the text that is going to appear in the bar. The second is the pointer to the page (internal or external).<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''2) Modify the NameSpace:'''<br />
<br />
One the variable is updated, the second step is to configure the NameSpace. These are the real names that are going to appear in the navigation bar. It is important to note that these names can appear in any language (Spanish, English, Catalan....) in WIKI. The name space are the translation from the pointer that we have set in the variable to the real languages.<br><br />
The most esay thing is do it only in English. The english version file in located in /WIKI/languages/laguage.php. Open this file and include the content:<br />
<br />
<pre><br />
'Driving Forces-url' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the link, the name is internal wiki page<br />
'drivingforces' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the name in the navigatio bar<br />
</pre><br />
It is possible to include an external link:<br />
<pre><br />
'dtn-url' => 'http://www.dtn.net', ## external link<br />
</pre><br />
<br />
save the file and place it again in /WIKI/languages.<br />
<br><br />
<br />
===Make login compulsory===<br />
<br />
By adding the following line to LocalSettings.php, it is possible to entirely disable anonymous edits:<br />
<pre> #Entirely disable Anonymous Edits<br />
$wgWhitelistEdit = true;</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Blocking Users===<br />
To block a user go to 'Special pages'; 'block user'.<br><br />
Another way is to block directly in your watchlist.<br />
<br />
===Allowing Media Uploads===<br />
To allow media uploads with different extensions from what is accepted by default, add the following line in Local Settings, with the required extensions. <br />
<br />
<pre>$wgFileExtensions = array( 'png', 'gif', 'jpg', 'jpeg', 'ogg', 'pdf', 'doc', 'ppt', 'mp3', 'm4a', 'mov');</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Changing the site subtitle===<br />
To change the site subtitle in the 'colon bleu' skin.<br />
'''In the wiki'''<br><br />
Go to 'special pages' and than to 'all system messages'. There locate 'sitesubtitle' and click on the link. Here you can change the text. <br />
<br />
'''On the server'''<br><br />
Alternatively. Follow above instructions, but in stead of changing the text just delete it. Then go to the server to:<br />
languages/languages.php and change text in the following line: <br />
'sitesubtitle' => 'TEXT', # FIXME</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Change_Log&diff=6568Change Log2005-09-14T16:39:59Z<p>Jan: /* Allowing Media Uploads */</p>
<hr />
<div>Here we write down how we got the more complicated tasks done, so we can do them again. <br />
<br />
===Changing the Navigation Bar===<br />
This document explains how to modify the WIKI's "navigation bar" in versio 1.4. The navigation bar is a very usefull element in WIKI to facilitate the navigation in WIKI.<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''1) Modify the Navigation bar variable:'''<br />
<br />
There are several files that need to be changed in order to configue the bar. The first thing to change is the variable that contains the description of the navigation bar:<br />
<br />
<pre>$wgNavigationLinks = array (<br />
array( 'text'=>'mainpage', 'href'=>'mainpage' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'portal', 'href'=>'portal-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'currentevents', 'href'=>'currentevents-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'recentchanges', 'href'=>'recentchanges-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'randompage', 'href'=>'randompage-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'sitesupport', 'href'=>'sitesupport-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'drivingforces', 'href'=>'Driving Forces-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'examplescenarios', 'href'=>'Example Scenarios-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'dtn', 'href'=>'dtn-url' ),<br />
); <br />
</pre><br />
<br />
This varible should be located in the LocalSettings.php from the WIKI (it is in the root). If this variable is not there, then copy it there from the includes/DefaultSettings.php.<br />
<br />
The array allows the configuration of the navigation bar by adding or removing links. The links can be inside WIKI pages or outside. <br />
<br />
Each line contains a link, and it is form by two words:<br />
<br />
<pre> array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ), </pre><br />
<br />
The first is the pointer of the text that is going to appear in the bar. The second is the pointer to the page (internal or external).<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''2) Modify the NameSpace:'''<br />
<br />
One the variable is updated, the second step is to configure the NameSpace. These are the real names that are going to appear in the navigation bar. It is important to note that these names can appear in any language (Spanish, English, Catalan....) in WIKI. The name space are the translation from the pointer that we have set in the variable to the real languages.<br><br />
The most esay thing is do it only in English. The english version file in located in /WIKI/languages/laguage.php. Open this file and include the content:<br />
<br />
<pre><br />
'Driving Forces-url' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the link, the name is internal wiki page<br />
'drivingforces' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the name in the navigatio bar<br />
</pre><br />
It is possible to include an external link:<br />
<pre><br />
'dtn-url' => 'http://www.dtn.net', ## external link<br />
</pre><br />
<br />
save the file and place it again in /WIKI/languages.<br />
<br><br />
<br />
===Make login compulsory===<br />
<br />
By adding the following line to LocalSettings.php, it is possible to entirely disable anonymous edits:<br />
<pre> #Entirely disable Anonymous Edits<br />
$wgWhitelistEdit = true;</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Blocking Users===<br />
To block a user go to 'Special pages'; 'block user'.<br><br />
Another way is to block directly in your watchlist.<br />
<br />
===Allowing Media Uploads===<br />
To allow media uploads with different extensions from what is accepted by default, add the following line in Local Settings, with the required extensions. <br />
<br />
<pre>$wgFileExtensions = array( 'png', 'gif', 'jpg', 'jpeg', 'ogg', 'pdf', 'doc', 'ppt', 'mp3', 'm4a', 'mov');</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Changing the site subtitle====<br />
To change the site subtitle in the 'colon bleu' skin. Go to the server to:<br />
languages/languages.php and change text in the following line: <br />
'sitesubtitle' => 'TEXT', # FIXME</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=MediaWiki:Sitesubtitle&diff=12047MediaWiki:Sitesubtitle2005-09-14T15:24:52Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Change_Log&diff=6515Change Log2005-09-06T11:06:33Z<p>Jan: /* Changing the Navigation Bar */</p>
<hr />
<div>Here we write down how we got the more complicated tasks done, so we can do them again. <br />
<br />
===Changing the Navigation Bar===<br />
This document explains how to modify the WIKI's "navigation bar" in versio 1.4. The navigation bar is a very usefull element in WIKI to facilitate the navigation in WIKI.<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''1) Modify the Navigation bar variable:'''<br />
<br />
There are several files that need to be changed in order to configue the bar. The first thing to change is the variable that contains the description of the navigation bar:<br />
<br />
<pre>$wgNavigationLinks = array (<br />
array( 'text'=>'mainpage', 'href'=>'mainpage' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'portal', 'href'=>'portal-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'currentevents', 'href'=>'currentevents-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'recentchanges', 'href'=>'recentchanges-url' ),<br />
## array( 'text'=>'randompage', 'href'=>'randompage-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'sitesupport', 'href'=>'sitesupport-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'drivingforces', 'href'=>'Driving Forces-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'examplescenarios', 'href'=>'Example Scenarios-url' ),<br />
array( 'text'=>'dtn', 'href'=>'dtn-url' ),<br />
); <br />
</pre><br />
<br />
This varible should be located in the LocalSettings.php from the WIKI (it is in the root). If this variable is not there, then copy it there from the includes/DefaultSettings.php.<br />
<br />
The array allows the configuration of the navigation bar by adding or removing links. The links can be inside WIKI pages or outside. <br />
<br />
Each line contains a link, and it is form by two words:<br />
<br />
<pre> array( 'text'=>'help', 'href'=>'helppage' ), </pre><br />
<br />
The first is the pointer of the text that is going to appear in the bar. The second is the pointer to the page (internal or external).<br><br />
<br />
<br />
'''2) Modify the NameSpace:'''<br />
<br />
One the variable is updated, the second step is to configure the NameSpace. These are the real names that are going to appear in the navigation bar. It is important to note that these names can appear in any language (Spanish, English, Catalan....) in WIKI. The name space are the translation from the pointer that we have set in the variable to the real languages.<br><br />
The most esay thing is do it only in English. The english version file in located in /WIKI/languages/laguage.php. Open this file and include the content:<br />
<br />
<pre><br />
'Driving Forces-url' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the link, the name is internal wiki page<br />
'drivingforces' => 'Driving Forces', ## this correspond to the name in the navigatio bar<br />
</pre><br />
It is possible to include an external link:<br />
<pre><br />
'dtn-url' => 'http://www.dtn.net', ## external link<br />
</pre><br />
<br />
save the file and place it again in /WIKI/languages.<br />
<br><br />
<br />
===Make login compulsory===<br />
<br />
By adding the following line to LocalSettings.php, it is possible to entirely disable anonymous edits:<br />
<pre> #Entirely disable Anonymous Edits<br />
$wgWhitelistEdit = true;</pre><br />
<br />
<br />
===Blocking Users===<br />
To block a user go to 'Special pages'; 'block user'.<br><br />
Another way is to block directly in your watchlist.<br />
<br />
===Allowing Media Uploads===<br />
To allow media uploads with different extensions from what is accepted by default, add the following line in Local Settings, with the required extensions. <br />
<br />
<pre>$wgFileExtensions = array( 'png', 'gif', 'jpg', 'jpeg', 'ogg', 'pdf', 'doc', 'ppt', 'mp3', 'm4a', 'mov');</pre></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=7115Scenario Thinking Portal2005-08-23T16:20:06Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br><br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Other sites]]''' <font size="-2">Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking, nog fitting into any of the other categories.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] Site about the nature and possibilities of change.<br><br />
</font></td></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Other_sites&diff=6970Other sites2005-08-23T16:17:19Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>''This sections contains the interesting sites that don't fit anywhere else.''<br><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] Site about the nature and possibilities of change.<br></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Other_sites&diff=6450Other sites2005-08-23T16:14:59Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] Site about the nature and possibilities of change.<br></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6451Scenario Thinking Portal2005-08-23T16:14:33Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Other sites]]''' <font size="-2">Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking, nog fitting into any of the other categories.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] Site about the nature and possibilities of change.<br><br />
</font></td></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6449Scenario Thinking Portal2005-08-23T16:07:18Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Other sites]]''' <font size="-2">Interesting sites, related to scenario thinking, nog fitting into any of the other categories.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/user/bbear/ '''The Change Project'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=7107Interviews2005-08-23T15:51:48Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).<br />
<br />
[http://www.corante.com/vision/wireless '''The Future of Wireless'''] is an ongoing interview series that examines how wireless is impacting businesses and individuals and the ways they connect, interact, find and share data, improve productivity, and more.<br />
<br />
[http://www.planetizen.com/oped/item.php?id=35 '''New Urbanism'''] Interview with [http://zakuski.math.utsa.edu/krier Leon Krier] by Nikos Salingaros: Interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.itconversations.com/shows/detail444.html '''The Future of Music'''] Audio interview with [http://gerdleonhard.typepad.com/about.html Gerd Leonhard] and [David Kusek on their book 'The future of music', describing the future of music considering the new technologies in music distribution.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6447Interviews2005-08-23T15:43:37Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).<br />
<br />
[http://www.corante.com/vision/wireless '''The Future of Wireless'''] is an ongoing interview series that examines how wireless is impacting businesses and individuals and the ways they connect, interact, find and share data, improve productivity, and more.<br />
<br />
[http://www.planetizen.com/oped/item.php?id=35 '''New Urbanism'''] Interview with [http://zakuski.math.utsa.edu/krier Leon Krier] by Nikos Salingaros: Interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.itconversations.com/shows/detail444.html '''The Future of Music'''] Audio interview with Gerd Leonhard and David Kusek on their book 'The future of music', describing the future of music considering the new technologies in music distribution.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6446Interviews2005-08-23T15:42:39Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).<br />
<br />
[http://www.corante.com/vision/wireless '''The Future of Wireless'''] is an ongoing interview series that examines how wireless is impacting businesses and individuals and the ways they connect, interact, find and share data, improve productivity, and more.<br />
<br />
[http://www.planetizen.com/oped/item.php?id=35 '''New Urbanism'''] Interview with [http://zakuski.math.utsa.edu/krier Leon Krier] by Nikos Salingaros: Interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.itconversations.com/shows/detail444.html '''The Future of Music'''] Audio interview with on their book 'The future of music', describing the future of music considering the new technologies in music distribution.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6445Interviews2005-08-23T15:31:43Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).<br />
<br />
[http://www.corante.com/vision/wireless '''The Future of Wireless'''] is an ongoing interview series that examines how wireless is impacting businesses and individuals and the ways they connect, interact, find and share data, improve productivity, and more.<br />
<br />
[http://www.planetizen.com/oped/item.php?id=35 '''New Urbanism'''] Interview with [http://zakuski.math.utsa.edu/krier Leon Krier] by Nikos Salingaros: Interview on the future of cities.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6444Interviews2005-08-22T09:04:27Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).<br />
<br />
[http://www.corante.com/vision/wireless '''The Future of Wireless'''] is an ongoing interview series that examines how wireless is impacting businesses and individuals and the ways they connect, interact, find and share data, improve productivity, and more.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6443Interviews2005-08-22T08:50:40Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.<br />
<br />
[http://www.managementconsultingnews.com/pdf/interviews/Czerniawska_Interview_final_pdf.pdf '''What’s Next for Consulting'''] A written interview with Fiona Czerniawska on the future of consulting (.pdf).</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6442Interviews2005-08-22T08:41:25Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov '''Future of Cities'''] A video interview with [http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/bios/garreau.html Joel Garreau], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Innovations&diff=7128Innovations2005-08-22T08:30:30Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:innovation.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Innovations, what is happening new in scenario thinking. If you think that you have an innovative approach, process or idea, please add it to the page below <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
'''[[Alternative approaches in scenario thinking]]''', a fresh look at scenario practice.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=What_is_Scenario_Thinking%3F&diff=7113What is Scenario Thinking?2005-08-22T08:18:07Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:whatisscenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="left" valign="top"><br><br>Scenario Thinking is a way of thinking about - and anticipating the future, without pretense of being able to predict the future or being able to influence the environment in a major way. Scenario thinking always includes a number of possible future scenarios, thus preparing for many possible future events. Succesfuly used by many organizations and governments, Scenario Thinking has proven it's worth in the past thirty years. <br> This little introduction doesn't start to describe what Scenario Thinking really is. On this page there is room for many more, possibly contradictory, descriptions of what Scenario Thinking really is. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/ScenarioThinking/scenariocycle.pdf '''A Scenario Cycle'''] is a presentation of a full scenario cycle, from articulation of the focal issue to the way scenarios are used to change an organisation and to transform strategic uncertainties from liabilities to assets.<br><br />
A sequence of steps however is not thinking process. This cycle is simply a sketch of scenario process, rather than a thinking template. The world is complex and complex situations require complex representation.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6441Interviews2005-08-16T16:17:53Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselves. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
Video interview with [http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov Joel Garreua], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Interviews&diff=6438Interviews2005-08-16T16:15:38Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:interview.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>Interviews with experts can be a powerful part of determining the driving forces that lay beneath the uncertainties we want to explore. Experts can give us insights into processes from different angels and supply us with fresh ideas that we would never think of ourselfs. This way broadening our view on possible futures significantly.<br />
Sharing interviews on many subjects can broaden our insight into developments all over the world, this way giving us a solid base for scenario processes. So by no means is the subject of the interviews restricted to scenario thinking, although interviews on this subject are more than welcome. <br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
Video interview with [http://homeserver.eu.archive.org/~daniel/IAB/JGarreau1.mov Joel Garreua], Principal of the Edge City Group. An interview on the future of cities.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Help:Contents&diff=7111Help:Contents2005-08-15T09:38:00Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>If you have any questions about the content of this website, please ask them in the interactive help section below. That way, anyone who knows the answer will be able to answer your question. Also [http://www.dtn.net DTN], as sponsor of this site, will regularly check this page to answer questions. <br />
<br />
If you have a question about editing, please go to the [[Help:Editing|editing help]] where you will find links to extensive help files on wiki-editing. <br />
<br />
===Interactive Help Section===<br />
Please write down your question here, using the regular editing method. If you have an answer to an unanswered question, please write it down. Please put new questions at the top.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=User:Dave&diff=13180User:Dave2005-08-15T09:23:49Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>I blocked your page because you put invisible links on our website. If you have questions or think I am in error about it please contact janb@dtn.net</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Help:Contents&diff=6436Help:Contents2005-08-15T09:21:11Z<p>Jan: Reverted edit of Dave, changed back to last version by Jan</p>
<hr />
<div>If you have any questions about the content of this website, please ask them in the interactive help section below. That way, anyone who knows the answer will be able to answer your question. Also [www.dtn.net DTN], as sponsor of this site, will regularly check this page to answer questions. <br />
<br />
If you have a question about editing, please go to the [[Help:Editing|editing help]] where you will find links to extensive help files on wiki-editing. <br />
<br />
===Interactive Help Section===<br />
Please write down your question here, using the regular editing method. If you have an answer to an unanswered question, please write it down. Please put new questions at the top.</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6453Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T15:04:42Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
----<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br> <br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
----<br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br><br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br><br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br><br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br><br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]<br><br />
</font></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6392Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T15:01:44Z<p>Jan: /* Student scenarios from previous years */</p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
----<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br> <br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
----<br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6391Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T14:59:23Z<p>Jan: /* Student scenarios from previous years */</p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
----<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br> <br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
----<br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6390Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T14:58:44Z<p>Jan: /* Student scenarios in process */</p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br> <br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
----<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6389Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T14:58:08Z<p>Jan: /* Student scenarios from previous years */</p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br> <br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6388Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T14:56:24Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br><br><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br> <br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br><br />
<br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br><br />
<br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top" width="33%"><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br><br />
<br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br><br />
<br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6384Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T14:15:12Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Information Society'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)<br> <br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]<br><br />
</font><br />
<br />
'''Entertainment'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)<br></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Childhood'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)<br><br />
</font><br />
<br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)<br><br />
[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)<br><br />
[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)<br></font><br />
<br />
'''Globalization'''<br><br />
<font size="-2"><br />
[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)<br></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6383Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T12:30:52Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Information Society'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)</p></font><br />
<br />
'''Internet Commerce'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)</p> <br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
<br />
'''Telecommunications'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)</p></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"><br />
'''Work and Organization'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]</p></font><br />
<br />
'''Entertainment'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
<br />
'''Health and Pharma'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p><p>[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)</p></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Childhood'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)</p><br />
</font><br />
<br />
'''Industry Sectors'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)</p></p></font><br />
<br />
'''Globalization'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)</p>(1996)</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6382Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T12:16:24Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Information Society'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Internet Commerce'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)</p> <br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
<br />
</td><br />
<td valign="top">'''Telecommunications'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)</p></font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Work and Organization'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Entertainment'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
</td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Health and Pharma'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p><p>[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Childhood'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)</p><br />
</font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Industry Sectors'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)</p></p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Globalization'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)</p>(1996)</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_in_Practice&diff=6381Scenario Thinking in Practice2005-07-13T12:08:48Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div> <table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:scenarios.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top"><br><br>On this page you will find many different examples of scenarios. The right place as well to leave the scenarios that you want others to kwow about.<br><br />
Links to scenarios on the internet can be found and left at the 'Scenario processes' section of the [[Scenario Thinking Portal]].<br />
</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
==Student Scenarios==<br />
Since 1996 post graduate MBA students have published scenarios on the future of the information society online as part of Daniel Erasmus's class on scenario thinking at the various business schools in the world. These more than 60 scenarios sets of which a selection is listed below and form a unique record of thinking of how the perceptions of the information society evolved from a new technology, boom and bust. Many of the predictions, controvercial at their time, have proven to be accurate in retrospect. <br><br />
At moments that Daniel Erasmus is teaching a class on scenario thinking, you will also find scenarios in process of construction on this site. <br />
<br />
If you have been involved in some of the processes, please add to this page to reflect on how thinking in scenarios aided your decisionmaking since developing the scenarios.<br><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios from previous years===<br />
''Here the finished student scenarios from 1996 onward can be found, divided by content categories. The same scenarios can be found divided by the years in which they were made in [[Student Scenarios by Year]]. If you add a scenario please add it in both sections''<br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Information Society'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of WiFi 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of GRID computing 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[Internet in 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/MBA98/scenmain6.htm The Information Society 2005] (1998)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ideas/main.htm Ideas 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/relationships/index.html Relationships 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/crime/Main.html Crime 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Fim_Markets/title.htm Distance Education 2011] (1996)</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Internet Commerce'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of the Internet in China 2015]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Broadband 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Offshore ICT Outsourcing 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/banking/Homepage.htm Internet Banking] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/ISP/main.html Free Internet Service Provision 2003] (1996)</p> <br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
<br />
</td><br />
<td valign="top">'''Telecommunications'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[[The Future Role of a Mobile Operator 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/communication/home.htm Telecommunications 2015] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Telecos/start.html Telcoms 2003] (1996)</p></font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top">'''Work and Organization'''<br />
<font size="-2"><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoBrand/index.htm Branding 2005] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/organisations/introsit.htm Organizations 2020] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/workspace/main.htm Workspace 2010] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/E-Cash/ecash1.html Electronic Cash] (1996)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/communication/ Interpersonal Communication ]</p></font></td><br />
<br />
<td valign="top">'''Entertainment'''<br />
<font size="-2"><p>[[The Future of Console Based Games 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[http://dtn.info.nl/DTN/FutureTV.htm Television in 2010] (2000)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/broadcast/homepage.htm Broadcast Media in 2007] (1997)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/Entertainment/frstpage.htm Delivery of Entertainment 2006] (1996)</p></font><br />
</td><br />
<td valign="top"></td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
====Health and Pharma====<br />
<p>[[The Future of the Pharmaseutical Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The future of Pharmaceuticals 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Research-Based Pharmaceutical Companies 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Healthcare in The Netherlands 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of HIV in South Africa 2014]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Health Insurance Industry in 2010]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2002/genetics/ Genetic Revolution] (2002)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/scenarios/health/Intro.htm Health in 2010] (1996)</p><br />
<br />
====Childhood====<br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/RSM2000/final/scenarios/childhood/index.htm Childhood Freedom in 2020] (2000)</p><br />
<br />
====Industry Sectors====<br />
<p>[[The Future of Software Development 2010]] (2005)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Automotive Industry 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Consumer Electronics 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Container Transport in Europe 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of Banking 2015]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Fertilizers Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[[The Future of the Heavy Building Industry 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<p>[http://www.dtn.net/content/thefuture/FoLeisure/index.html Leisure 2010] (1999)</p><br />
<p>[http://ww2.rsm.nl/dtn/Scenarios/Retailing/home.htm Food Retailing 2006] (1996)</p><br />
<br />
====Globalization====<br />
<p>[[The Future of the Global Village in 2020]] (2004)</p><br />
<br />
===Student scenarios in process===<br />
''In this section you will find the scenarios where this year students are working on now. Please don't edit if you are not on the project. But you are more than welcome to comment on them!''<br />
<br />
[[LIACS ICT in Business 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[KEMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[UMBA 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[aSSIST BL 2005]]<br />
<br />
[[RSM EMBA 2005]]</div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6448Scenario Thinking Portal2005-07-11T09:28:18Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists for sharing experience and knowledge and building a network. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6379Scenario Thinking Portal2005-07-11T09:22:38Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.profuturists.com/'''Association of Professional Futurists'''] is a page of a community of professional futurists, supporting <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.wfs.org '''World Future Society'''] is an open society for people interested in the future, in social as well as technological areas. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6378Scenario Thinking Portal2005-07-11T09:20:05Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database '''WTO Trade Statistics'''] Up-to-date trade statistics by the World Trade Organisation. Current and past statistics on World trade and statistics per country.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm '''European IT Statistics'''] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''Association of Professional Futurists''' [http://www.profuturists.com/ Page] of a community of professional futurists.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''World Future Society''' The [http://www.wfs.org WFS] is an open society for people interested in the future, in social as well as technological areas. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Scenario_Thinking_Portal&diff=6377Scenario Thinking Portal2005-07-11T09:13:03Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="10" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td align="left" valign="top">[[Image:portal.jpg]]</td><br />
<td align="right" valign="top">The Scenario Thinking Portal is the place where we can share our favourite URL's on scenario thinking and the future in general. You are invited to use the links provided by others. But don't forget to leave your own favourite URL's as well. <br> <br />
The idea is to accompany the links by a short description of the site.<br />
You can link a URL with a button from the editing bar. If you experience any problems, please click [http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Help:URL here] for help.</td><br />
</tr><br />
</table><br />
<br />
<table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="12" cellpadding="0"><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Scenario Resource Pages]]'''<font size="-2"> Links, articles and other resources on scenarios. Some of the pages are specific to scenario processes, others are broader and link to other foresight processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.well.com/~mb/scenario/ '''Scenario planning'''] is a page by Martin Börjesson on scenario planning, with many links to information, articles, reports and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.plausiblefutures.com '''Plausible Futures'''] is a page with a wide variety of links to all kinds of views on possible futures. Includes a section on scenario's. </font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Scenario Processes]]''' <font size="-2">Links to sites with scenario processes. Some of them aimed at the future a specific organization or country, other aimed at the description of global future processes and trends.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odci.gov/nic/NIC_home.html '''The National Intelligence Council'''] is a page that contains long term global trend scenario's on many different issues, based on intelligence information.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.shell.com/home/Framework?siteId=royal-en&FC2=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/zzz_lhn.html&FC3=/royal-en/html/iwgen/our_strategy/scenarios/dir_scenarios_28022005.html '''Shell scenario page'''] is a page with information on scenario planning by Shell. Includes information on the newest scenarios, as well as on some previous ones. <br><br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Sources of Change]]''' <font size="-2">Processes that we see happening now or are predicted to happen in the (near) future, are going to change the world. Here you will find links to some of those processes.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Examples links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://williamcalvin.com/1990s/1998AtlanticClimate.htm '''The Great Climate Flip-flop'''] is a cover article from the Atlantic Monthly by [http://williamcalvin.com/index.html William H. Calvin]. An article on sudden climate change. <br><br />
<font size="-2"> [http://www.odac-info.org '''Oil Depletion Analysis Centre'''] tries to raise public awareness on the oil-depletion problem. On the site you will find articles, assessments, news and links.<br><br><br />
<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr><br />
<tr><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Fields of Interest]]''' <font size="-2">Sites from different fields of interest in some way related to scenario thinking. Categorized by fields of interest such as business and economy, politics and science.''<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://www.iiss.org/showpage.php?pageID=6 '''International Institute for Strategic Studies'''] provides policy makers with information on the course and consequences of military conflict.<br><br />
<font size="-2">[http://blake.montclair.edu/~kowalskil/cf/19loncha.html '''Cold Fusion'''] - the big wild card. Site by Ludwik Kowalski from Montclair State University, treating cold fusion as a serious scientific subject. <br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="33%">'''[[Statistical Data]]''' <font size="-2">Statistical data from on many different fields, with local as well as global data. Includes demographical data, economic statistics, statistics on IT development and much more.<br><br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''WTO Trade Statistics''' Up-to-date [http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm#database trade statistics] by the World Trade Organisation. Statistics on World trade as well as statistics per country. Current as well as past statistics.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''European IT statistics''' [http://www.eto.org.uk/eustats/index.htm Statistics] relating to information technology in the European Union and other selected countries. Site by European Telework Online (ETO).<br />
</font></td><br />
<td valign="top" width="31%">'''[[Futurism]]''' <font size="-2">Sites on futurism and on futurists and their activities. Go [[The difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning|here]] to learn more about the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning.'''<br />
<br />
<font size="-2"> ''Example links:''<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''Association of Professional Futurists''' [http://www.profuturists.com/ Page] of a community of professional futurists.<br><br />
<font size="-2"> '''World Future Society''' The [http://www.wfs.org WFS] is an open society for people interested in the future, in social as well as technological areas. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
</font></td><br />
</tr></div>Janhttps://www.scenariothinking.org/index.php?title=Futurism&diff=13155Futurism2005-07-11T07:44:34Z<p>Jan: </p>
<hr />
<div>''This section contains links to sites about and from futurists and their activities.''<br><br />
''[[What is the difference between Futurism and Scenario Thinking or Scenario Learning]]<br />
<br />
<br />
====Association of Professional Futurists====<br />
[http://www.profuturists.com/ Page] of a community of professional futurists.<br />
<br />
====World Future Society====<br />
The [http://www.wfs.org WFS] is an open society for people interested in the future, in social as well as technological areas. Site with forecasts, recommendations, and alternative scenarios.<br />
<br />
<br><br />
[[Scenario Thinking Portal|<<Back to the Scenario Thinking Portal<<]]</div>Jan